Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FXUS64 KFWD 040818
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
318 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY BEHIND
A DEPARTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. OTHER THAN SOME PATCHY FOG THIS
MORNING DUE TO LIGHT WINDS...A VERY MOIST GROUND AND CLEAR
SKIES...IT WILL BE SUNNY TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND
LOWER 80S.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY AND KEEP NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS RAIN-FREE AND
SEASONABLY WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S AND
LOWS IN THE 50S TO AROUND 60. WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GATHER STRENGTH ON THE PACIFIC COAST.
THIS SYSTEM WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST LATE IN THE WEEK WITH THE
CENTER OF THE LOW REACHING THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ON SATURDAY.
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE STEADILY IN RESPONSE TO THE
APPROACHING SYSTEM AND THE RESULTANT SURFACE LEE TROUGH ACROSS
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BEGIN IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES
SATURDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE REGION WIDE ON SUNDAY. THE UPPER LOW
IS PROGGED TO OPEN UP AND LIFT SLOWLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEVERAL SHORTWAVES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE BASE
OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND CONTINUE TO BRING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES TO NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. ALTHOUGH SPECIFIC DETAILS ABOUT THE TIMING AND EXTENT OF
SEVERE WEATHER ARE NOT KNOW AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT SOME
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS
WHEN A DRYLINE ENTERS THE REGION.

TEMPERATURES ON THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE NEAR
OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER AND
MIDDLE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH    81  56  80  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
WACO                81  53  80  55  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
PARIS               78  51  75  53  79 /  10   0   0   0   0
DENTON              79  52  79  55  81 /  10   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY            79  51  78  53  81 /  10   0   0   0   0
DALLAS              81  56  81  59  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
TERRELL             79  53  78  55  81 /  10   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA           80  55  78  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE              80  54  80  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
MINERAL WELLS       80  53  81  56  83 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

15/79



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