Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 272109
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
309 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ACTIVITY HAS SHOWN A SLIGHT DECREASE
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...EXPECT ACTIVITY TO INCREASE TONIGHT
AS UPPER DISTURBANCE ROTATING THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA. FOR NOW NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE FOR THE FLOOD WATCH.  RAIN
AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN LIGHT OVERALL ACROSS WESTERN PARTS OF FORECAST
AREA. MOREOVER THTE VALUES WILL BE TRENDING LOWER.  WILL MAINTAIN
NEAR CATEGORICAL POPS FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...THEN WILL TAPER POPS
BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT. COOLER DRIER WEATHER IS FORECASTED FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. GFS AND ECMWF ARE CONSISTENT WITH ARCTIC FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA LATE TUESDAY. NO PRECIP IS FORECASTED FOR
WEDNESDAY...BUT ISENTROPIC LIFT AND THEN WARM ADVECTION WILL
INITIATE AS LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZES OVER THE WESTERN GULF. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE FORECAST FOR LATE IN
THE WEEK.


&&

.MARINE...MAIN ISSUE IN THE VERY NEAR TERM WILL BE POTENTIAL WILL
CONVECTION AND FOR SEA FOG BEFORE FRONT PASSES. FOR NOW...WILL HOLD
OFF ON A FOG ADVISORY AS AMPLE CONVECTION/MIXING REMAINS OVER THE
WATERS SHOULD. WIND SHIFT SHOULD BE THROUGH MOST IF NOT ALL WATERS
BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  50  54  42  59  42 /  90  80  40  10  10
KBPT  47  51  42  60  43 /  90  80  30  10   0
KAEX  48  50  40  56  39 /  90  80  50  10  10
KLFT  56  59  46  59  43 /  90  80  60  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...CALCASIEU...EAST CAMERON...
     EVANGELINE...IBERIA...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER
     ST. MARTIN...ST. LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...
     VERMILION...WEST CAMERON.

TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$







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