Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 010508 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1208 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

.AVIATION...
Mostly VFR conditions will continue through the overnight
hours...with an extensive area of elevated cigs from widespread
convection earlier this evening expected to persist. This
convection has diminished considerably during the mid to late
evening hours...with sct areas of -RA still ongoing from 12-15kft
cigs across portions of NE TX/SE OK/SW AR. Additional
redevelopment is possible overnight though across these areas and
to the W over N TX...with any thunder isolated given that these
areas have stabilized from the earlier convection. An outflow
bndry has pushed SE into portions of Deep E TX into Ncntrl LA
from near an OCH to F17...to S of the I-20 corridor...and may
focus isolated convection as well. Patchy fg can/t be ruled out
prior to daybreak but the extensive elevated cloud cover will
likely limit this threat. MVFR cigs should develop after 12Z over
E TX and gradually improve through the midday hour...as additional
sct convection develops and spreads NNE into N LA/SW AR/SE OK.
Have maintained VCTS for all but the MLU terminal from late
morning through the afternoon...although convection may affect MLU
by/after 00Z. Locally reduced cigs/vsbys and svr turbulence will
be possible in/near the convection...with a slow decrease expected
during the evening with the loss of heating. Lt/vrb winds tonight
will become SSE 5-8kts after 16z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 951 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Convection covering much of nw third of cwa weakening and
retreating away from se OK. Exception is renewed cells likely
along an outflow boundary extending eastward across east tx lakes
but likely to be short lived. Have adjusted pops basically from 50
percent far west to 20 percent east overnight. With a few cells
just east of MS river, did not wish to remove pops altogether
across north central LA. Did not change overnight lows. However,
did load current temps into grids so that new zones may read temps
near steady over rain cooled areas over ne TX and se OK that have
already fallen to upper 60s early this eve but have remained
steady thus far./vii/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  86  69  83 /  30  50  50  60
MLU  71  87  70  86 /  20  20  30  30
DEQ  67  82  67  79 /  40  60  70  80
TXK  69  84  67  81 /  30  60  70  70
ELD  70  86  68  83 /  20  50  50  60
TYR  70  83  69  81 /  50  60  70  70
GGG  69  84  68  81 /  40  60  60  70
LFK  70  86  69  82 /  40  50  50  70

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

15



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