Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 301525
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1125 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers are already developing over the inland areas
and over the southern half of the coastal waters. TD9 continues
over the southern Gulf waters and remains on track. Heavy rainfall
especially along coastal areas is still expected through the week
from the tropical moisture with this system, and greater marine
and coastal impacts will be possible mainly in the Wednesday
through Friday timeframe.

For this afternoon, the current forecast is on track and have not
made many changes for the update, but have updated the winds and
tropical probabilities with the latest information. Have also
raised a Tropical Storm watch for the northern coastal waters.
Will send the zone update shortly.

&&

.AVIATION...
Ceilings have improved to MVFR to VFR late this morning and will
continue through the day, with periods of rain and a few embedded
thunderstorms moving over the area. Winds will be shifting from
the east to the S/SW.

&&

.MARINE...
Have raised a Tropical Storm Watch for the northern coastal
waters. In addition, a SCEC remains in effect for the southern
waters today, and will likely increase to an SCA for the overnight
hours and possibly expand north. Current forecast is on track with
generally E/SE winds becoming more southerly. Update is out with
the latest tropical updates.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  89  78  84  77 /  70  70  70  80
FMY  86  77  85  78 /  80  60  60  70
GIF  88  76  83  76 /  80  50  60  60
SRQ  88  79  83  79 /  60  80  70  80
BKV  89  76  84  76 /  70  60  80  70
SPG  88  79  84  78 /  60  70  70  80

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Tropical Storm Watch for Coastal waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/Hubbard
UPPER AIR...42/Norman
DECISION SUPPORT...05/Carlisle


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