Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 170035
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
835 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.UPDATE...
The east coast sea breeze is moving west into the coastal counties
at this time and this helping to pop a few showers along and just
behind it with partly to mostly cloudy skies across the rest of
the area. Overnight a cold front will settle into north Florida
with high pressure then bridging the boundary and setting up an
increasing northeasterly flow on Tuesday. A few more showers and
possibly a thunderstorm could develop during the night as this
front approaches with best chances from around the Interstate 4
corridor northward. During Tuesday enough moisture will continue
across the region with the northeast flow bringing some more
showers and possibly a thunderstorm westward into the region. Best
chances on Tuesday will be over the interior south of the
Interstate 4 corridor during the afternoon hours. Temperatures
tonight will fall into the upper 60s north with lower to middle
70s elsewhere. On Tuesday abundant clouds are expected and this
will keep temperatures cooler than the last several days with
highs in the upper 70s north to mid 80s south. Overall the current
grids/zone forecast look ok with no changes planned this evening.

&&

.AVIATION...
Some MVFR/local IFR conditions will be possible in convection
overnight, otherwise mainly VFR conditions should prevail. Rather
light winds overnight will increase out of the northeast Tuesday
as high pressure builds in from the north. More scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms will be possible during Tuesday which
could cause some more MVFR/local IFR conditions.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure will build into the region with several days of
elevated northeasterly winds and choppy conditions expected for
this week. Cautionary to advisory winds tonight into early Tuesday
for the northern Gulf waters will spread southward to include the
rest of the forecast waters with a pronounced nocturnal wind surge
each night.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  74  82  71  86 /  40  30  10  30
FMY  74  85  72  86 /  20  40  30  50
GIF  72  82  70  83 /  30  40  20  30
SRQ  73  83  71  84 /  30  30  10  30
BKV  71  80  68  85 /  40  20  10  20
SPG  75  82  72  84 /  30  30  10  30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...69/Close
UPPER AIR...27/Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...11/McKaughan


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