Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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000
FXUS64 KJAN 272137
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
437 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...A BUSY AFTERNOON WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH EASTERN MISSISSIPPI IS BEGINNING TO
WIND DOWN. STORMS ARE STILL ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI BUT THIS IS TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST. ALL OF THIS
WAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN MCV MOVING ACROSS THE REGION AND
COMBINING WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. MANY OF THESE STORMS
HAVE REMAINED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS BUT MANY HAVE AT LEAST GOTTEN
STRONG. AS THIS ACTIVITY MOVES OFF TO THE EAST...RAIN CHANCES SHOULD
END FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. PATCHY FOG
AND EVEN SOME AREAS OF POTENTIALLY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS THAT SAW A GOOD BIT OF RAIN.

MODELS INDICATE THAT CONVECTION ON THURSDAY SHOULD BE LIMITED AS
850MB RIDGING LOOKS TO TAKE SHAPE. THERE COULD BE SOME ACTIVITY BUT
EVEN HI-RES MODELS ARENT VERY ROBUST WITH CONVECTION TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH
MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION EXPECTED.

ANOTHER FRONT LOOKS TO DROP TOWARD THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
THIS SHOULD HELP BRING MORE CONVECTION TO THE REGION...PARTICULARLY
THE NORTHERN PART OF THE REGION DURING THIS TIME. MODELS SHOW A
TROUGH SWINGING INTO OUR REGION AND STALLING...CLOSING OFF INTO AN
UPPER LOW. THIS SHOULD HELP KEEP RAIN CHANCES AROUND THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. /28/

&&

.AVIATION...RESTRICTIONS FROM CURRENT CONVECTION IS WANING AND
CONFINED TO THE NE AREAS. LOOK FOR A QUIET EVENING WITH VFR
CONDITIONS WITH A TREND TOWARD MVFR/IFR CEILINGS/VIS LATER IN THE
NIGHT PERIOD (09-11Z). WILL TREND TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY 15Z
WITH VFR PREVAILING AFTER 17-18Z. /CME/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       68  85  68  85 /  13  32  20  39
MERIDIAN      66  85  67  85 /  15  36  20  40
VICKSBURG     69  86  69  86 /  13  16  20  34
HATTIESBURG   68  87  68  86 /  13  35  20  39
NATCHEZ       69  85  70  85 /  13  26  20  37
GREENVILLE    69  86  70  85 /  13  12  20  40
GREENWOOD     68  84  69  85 /  16  22  20  42

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

28/CME


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