Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 281829
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
129 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
129 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...East Central and southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late evening.

FLASH FLOOD.
 RISK...Limited.
 AREA...Along and west of a Bartlesville to McAlester line.
 ONSET...After 7 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Along and west of a Bartlesville to McAlester line.
ONSET...After 7 PM.

DISCUSSION...
Elevated showers and thunderstorms are ongoing this afternoon
across the Texas panhandle and western Oklahoma ahead of an upper
level low pressure system. A warm front lies south of the Red
River, from near Lubbock east across north central Texas. As the
warm front lifts north, additional storms will develop across
west Texas and southwest Oklahoma, eventually moving into eastern
Oklahoma late tonight. Storms will likely be elevated as they
move into eastern Oklahoma, and will pose a threat for large hail
and strong to isolated severe wind gusts. Because storms are
expected to be elevated, the tornado threat is very low.

In addition, heavy rain is forecast for portions of eastern
Oklahoma with 1 to 2 inches of rain possible. This could cause
some locally heavy runoff or brief flash flooding.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY through Monday...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The severe threat on Wednesday will depend on how storms develop
this evening. There will be an axis of instability that develops
across eastern Oklahoma ahead of a cold front, and storms are
expected to develop by afternoon. Some of these storms could
become severe with threats of large hail and damaging winds with a
limited threat for tornadoes.

A chance for thunderstorms remains in the forecast Thursday and
for the weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

CORFIDI



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