Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 271741
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1240 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-280000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1240 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND ADDITIONAL ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. WEAK WIND FIELDS WILL KEEP
THE STORMS GENERALLY UNORGANIZED...BUT A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS
COULD PRODUCE SOME LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DO DEVELOP MAY CAUSE FLOOD PROBLEMS DUE TO THE ABNORMALLY WET MONTH
OF MAY.

MANY RIVERS IN THE REGION REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...HOWEVER MOST
HAVE CRESTED AND ARE FALLING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RAMP UP FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED  COLD FRONT APPROACHES...THEN MOVES
THROUGH OUR REGION. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE A
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS. FLOODING WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO BUILD INTO THE AREA EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH A GENERAL DECREASE IN STORM CHANCES EXPECTED.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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