Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 131816
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
116 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
115 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 69 IN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS SHOULD START AROUND MID AFTERNOON WEST OF
HIGHWAY 75...THEN GRADUALLY MOVE EASTWARD...REACHING WESTERN
ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS EVENING. THE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS ALONG THE FRONT BY THE TIME THE
FRONT REACHES FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND MOVES INTO ARKANSAS. WINDS
AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. HOWEVER...LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE A LIMITED THREAT OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
MUCH COOLER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS
WILL ALSO BE STRONG ON MONDAY. FIRE DANGER WILL BE LESS ON TUESDAY
DUE TO LIGHT WINDS...BUT WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS WINDS
INCREASE AND HUMIDITY REMAINS LOW.
THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AS
ANOTHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$





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