Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 260428

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
928 PM MST WED MAY 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A weak low pressure system will produce chances for
showers and thunderstorms tonight into Friday. Moisture will
linger into early next week with a chances for high based showers
and thunderstorms each day. Otherwise, warmer temperatures are in
store starting Friday into next week.


.DISCUSSION...A weak low pressure system will roll through
northern Arizona on Thursday with chances for high based showers
and thunderstorms in the forecast. The highest chances for
thunderstorms will be over mountain areas. Any precipitation from
these high based clouds will evaporatively cool the descending air
leading to periods of erratic gusty winds near the heavier shower
bands each afternoon.

Saturday through Tuesday...A weak low pressure trough will remain
in place across the Southwest Region, producing relatively dry
humidity levels, light to breezy Westerly winds and near normal

By next Wednesday a high pressure ridge moves in with continued
dry weather conditions and temperatures trending warmer through
the rest of the week.


.AVIATION...Expect VFR conditions for the next 24 hours with
chances for high based showers and thunderstorms. Erratic and
gusty winds are possible in the afternoon hours on Thursday near
showers. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Slight chance of showers and storms from Flagstaff
north and west tonight. Better chance of showers and
thunderstorms across most higher elevation areas Thursday and
Friday afternoon. Weaker winds are expected Thursday and Friday.

Saturday through Monday...Drier conditions arrive for the weekend
into early next week, with relatively light winds expected.
Critical fire weather conditions are not expected at this time.






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