Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 240339
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
839 PM MST TUE AUG 23 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Expect decreasing storm activity tonight and into
Wednesday as an upper low moves away from the area. Scattered
storms are expected again on Thursday and Friday, before a
significant drying and warming trend develops over next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Radar imagery showers a line of showers and
thunderstorms extending from near Supai to Flagstaff to Ganado.
These storms have formed in response to an upper level low
currently spinning near the Four Corners. The line of storms is
forecast to push to the south-southeast over the next few hours
while slowly weakening. By midnight, only isolated, light shower
activity is expected across northern Arizona.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /420 PM MST/...Drier and warmer air aloft will
trail this low on Wednesday, with weak return flow possibly
ticking up the pops Thursday and Friday. Drying and warming then
really begins in earnest over the weekend and into next week. This
time frame will feature a significant decrease in activity and a
pronounced warming trend.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 06Z package...Expect VFR conditions across
most of northern Arizona overnight. The exception will be in
association with a line of storms currently positioned along
Interstate 40 between Seligman and Parks. This line is expected
to push to the south-southeast while weakening over the next few
hours. By 12Z Wednesday...VFR conditions are forecast across all
of northern Arizona. After 17Z Wednesday, expect a round of
scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop primarily over
higher terrain. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF
amendments.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...RR/Peterson
AVIATION...RR


For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff



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