Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KSJT 231140
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
640 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Light winds and VFR conditions will prevail across the terminals
the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 414 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

The subtropical ridge will be centered over southern Colorado
today with 500 mb heights around 600 dam. Another hot day is in
store for the area with high temperatures topping out in the upper
90s to around 101 degrees. The hottest temperatures will be across
the Concho Valley north into the Big Country. Similar to yesterday,
could see a stray shower or thunderstorm develop across southern
counties during peak heating but will be too sparse to mention in
the forecast. Winds today will be light easterly around 10 mph,
becoming light and variable overnight. Expect mostly clear to partly
cloudy skies overnight with lows mainly in the lower to middle
70s.

LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)

Unseasonably hot temperatures are forecast through much of the week,
with a pattern change possible next week. Thursday through this
weekend, expect an upper level ridge to remain centered across New
Mexico/Colorado, resulting in hot temperatures and generally dry
conditions, with the hottest temperatures expected Friday and
Saturday. High temperatures will range from the upper 90s to near
100 across the Interstate 10 corridor, to 99 to 104 across much of
the Big Country. Overnight lows will be in the 70s.

Models continue to indicate a pattern change for much of the nation
next week. A potent upper level trough is forecast to develop across
the eastern half of the nation, while the aforementioned upper
level ridge shifts toward the Intermountain West. This trough will
result in a weak front moving into West Central Texas, on Monday.
Models differences in timing and strength continue, but an overall
shift toward cooler temperatures and better rain chances looks more
likely, for at least the early to middle part of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  99  74  99  75 101 /   5   0   5   5   5
San Angelo 100  74 100  73 102 /   5   0   5   5   5
Junction  98  73  99  71 100 /   5   5   5  10   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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