Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
FXUS64 KSJT 231523
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1023 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2016
Added a slight chance of sprinkles to the eastern half of West
Central Texas today, mainly east of a Sonora...San Angelo...Cross
Plains line. Mainly trace amounts of rain are expected, but a few
places may see 1/100.
Light showers associated with an upper shortwave from Del Rio and
Rock Springs were moving north. Most will fall as virga today, but
sprinkles are possible. Highs in the upper 70s/lower 80s still
appear to be on track, despite increased cloud cover.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 602 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2016/
Extensive mid and upper level cloud cover will continue across
West Central Texas through much of the day. South winds will
increase to 8 to 14 knots by late morning, becoming light and
variable this evening. MVFR ceilings will be possible at mainly
the southern 3 sites toward the end of the TAF forecast.
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 400 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2016/
(Today and Tonight)
A weak upper level low will track across West Central Texas
today, then shift east of the area overnight. The main impact
that this low will have on the area is an increase in mid to
upper level cloud cover, especially across the southern half of
the region. Although an isolated shower cannot be ruled out this
afternoon, a dry forecast was continued as confidence remains low.
Temperatures this afternoon will range from the upper 70s across
the southern portions of the area, where more cloud cover is
expected, to the low 80s across much of the rest of the area.
Gusty south winds of 10 to 15 mph will become light overnight.
Overnight low temperatures will be above seasonal normals, in the
upper 50s to near 60.
(Monday through Saturday)
On Monday, the upper level shortwave trough/low that is currently
moving northeast towards Texas out of northern Mexico will be
exiting the area. This will be followed up by zonal flow Tuesday,
which will transition into northwesterly flow by Wednesday as a
fairly potent upper low moves east across the northern plains into
the Great Lakes area. There will be an extension of weak shortwave
energy moving across our area, but this will likely just result in
mid and upper level clouds across the area. From Wednesday into
the weekend, upper level ridging will build over the area,
resulting in generally dry and quiet weather through the rest of
the extended period. Temperatures will generally run a few degrees
warmer than normal through the period, with highs mainly in the
upper 70s to mid 80s, and lows in the mid 50s to around 60.
Normal highs and lows over the next week...
Abilene: 73-75 and 50-52
San Angelo: 75-77 and 49-52
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 81 60 81 62 / 5 0 0 5
San Angelo 83 60 84 61 / 5 5 5 5
Junction 79 61 81 60 / 20 5 10 5
Brownwood 80 60 81 61 / 20 5 0 0
Sweetwater 82 60 80 62 / 0 0 0 0
Ozona 78 59 81 61 / 5 5 5 5