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Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains

A slow moving front combined with tropical moisture will maintain the threat of locally considerable flash/urban flooding across much of Texas and Oklahoma through Friday. Isolated severe storms capable of mainly severe wind gusts appear possible over portions of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas this afternoon and evening. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Waco, Waco Regional Airport (KACT)

Lat: 31.62°NLon: 97.23°WElev: 515ft.

Mostly Cloudy

74°F

23°C

Humidity 94%
Wind Speed S 6 mph
Barometer 29.81 in (1008.5 mb)
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 1 Oct 4:51 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

Mount Calm TX

Flood Watch October 1, 05:25pm until October 2, 07:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 1, 05:25pm until October 2, 07:00am

    NOW until 7:00am Fri

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 76 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 7pm. Low around 68. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

    Low: 68 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10am, then showers likely between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 77. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    High: 77 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 66. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 66 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 76. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 76 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a chance of showers between 10pm and 1am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a chance of showers between 10am and 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 77 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 76. South wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 7pm. Low around 68. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10am, then showers likely between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 77. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 66. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 76. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a chance of showers between 10pm and 1am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a chance of showers between 10am and 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. North northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 79.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 57.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Mount Calm TX
 31.76°N 96.89°W (Elev. 679 ft)
Last Update:
4:31 pm CDT Oct 1, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5pm CDT Oct 1, 2026-6pm CDT Oct 8, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation