Fire Weather Concerns in the Northern and Central Plains; Severe Thunderstorms in the Upper Midwest

Dry and breezy conditions will bring elevated to critical fire weather conditions across portions of the northern and central High Plains through Saturday, where fuels remain largely receptive. Severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of central Nebraska to the Upper Midwest this afternoon into tonight. Read More >

Current conditions at

Cortez-Montezuma County Airport (KCEZ)

Lat: 37.30706°NLon: 108.62644°WElev: 5902.0ft.

Clear

76°F

24°C

Humidity 17%
Wind Speed WSW 5 MPH
Barometer 30.18 in (1022.01 mb)
Dewpoint 28°F (-2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index76°F (24°C)
Last update 11 Sep 10:53 AM MDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SSW Mesa Verde National Park CO

  • Today

    Today: A slight chance of showers before 3pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 90 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming south southwest in the evening.

    Low: 59 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 89. North northeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west southwest in the morning.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east northeast after midnight.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Sunny, with a high near 87. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    High: 87 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight.  Low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 81 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.

    Low: 56 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 79.

    High: 79 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
A slight chance of showers before 3pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming south southwest in the evening.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 89. North northeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west southwest in the morning.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east northeast after midnight.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 87. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. Low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 79.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SSW Mesa Verde National Park CO
 37.15°N 108.51°W (Elev. 5997 ft)
10:51 am MDT Sep 11, 2026
11am MDT Sep 11, 2026-6pm MDT Sep 17, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database