Heavy Lake Effect Snow Downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario; Fire Weather Concerns in the Southern Plains and Southeast

A multi-day heavy lake effect snow event is expected downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario through New Year's Day. There is increasing confidence in snow squalls causing bursts of snow & gusty winds on New Year's Eve. Elevated fire weather conditions will continue today over parts of the Southern Plains and across much of the Southeast U.S. Read More >

Current conditions at

Cortez-Montezuma County Airport (KCEZ)

Lat: 37.30706°NLon: 108.62644°WElev: 5902.0ft.

Clear

43°F

6°C

Humidity 33%
Wind Speed SSW 14 MPH
Barometer 30.41 in (1029.8 mb)
Dewpoint 16°F (-9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill36°F (2°C)
Last update 30 Dec 03:20 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SSE Mesa Verde National Park CO

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 47. West wind around 5 mph.

    High: 47 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 23. East northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 23 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon.

    High: 50 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Rain and snow showers likely after 11pm, becoming all rain showers after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Low: 32 °F

    Rain/Snow
    Likely then
    Showers
    Likely

  • New Year's Day

    New Year's Day: Showers.  High near 47. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 47 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers.  Low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 37 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers before 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 51.

    High: 51 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.

    Low: 30 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 52.

    High: 52 °F

    Partly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Sunny, with a high near 47. West wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 23. East northeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Rain and snow showers likely after 11pm, becoming all rain showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
New Year's Day
Showers. High near 47. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
Showers. Low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers before 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 51.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 52.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 52.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 50.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SSE Mesa Verde National Park CO
 37.15°N 108.46°W (Elev. 6598 ft)
2:21 pm MST Dec 30, 2025
3pm MST Dec 30, 2025-6pm MST Jan 5, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database