Critical Fire Weather in the Plains; Severe Thunderstorms in the Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes

Anomalously warm, dry and breezy conditions will bring elevated to critical fire weather conditions across portions of the Intermountain West into the central and southern Plains today. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the upper Mississippi River Valley to the Great Lakes tonight through the day Tuesday. Damaging gusts, hail, and heavy rainfall are likely. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Cortez-Montezuma County Airport (KCEZ)

Lat: 37.30706°NLon: 108.62644°WElev: 5902.0ft.

Clear

38°F

3°C

Humidity 50%
Wind Speed E 6 MPH
Barometer 30.12 in (1019.98 mb)
Dewpoint 21°F (-6°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill33°F (1°C)
Last update 30 Mar 05:53 AM MDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles NNE Mesa Verde National Park CO

  • Today

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Breezy, with a west wind 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

    High: 68 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Mostly
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    and Breezy
    then Mostly
    Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

    High: 64 °F

    Breezy.
    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers, mainly after 9pm.  Low around 44. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy then
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am.  High near 50. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    High: 50 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers, mainly before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.

    Low: 39 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers before noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. Breezy.

    High: 59 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Breezy.

    Low: 36 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    and Breezy

  • Friday

    Friday: A slight chance of snow showers.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. Breezy.

    High: 50 °F

    Slight Chance
    Snow Showers
    and Breezy

Detailed Forecast

Today
Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Breezy, with a west wind 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Tonight
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Tuesday Night
Showers, mainly after 9pm. Low around 44. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Wednesday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. High near 50. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Wednesday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of showers before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. Breezy.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Breezy.
Friday
A slight chance of snow showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. Breezy.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Blustery.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 56. Breezy.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 37.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 61.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles NNE Mesa Verde National Park CO
 37.24°N 108.47°W (Elev. 7487 ft)
4:31 am MDT Mar 30, 2026
6am MDT Mar 30, 2026-6pm MDT Apr 5, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database