National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Today from the Central Plains into the Tennessee Valley

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into portions of the Southeast today. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Cortez-Montezuma County Airport (KCEZ)

Lat: 37.30706°NLon: 108.62644°WElev: 5902.0ft.

Clear

95°F

35°C

Humidity 7%
Wind Speed WSW 5 MPH
Barometer 30.12 in (1019.98 mb)
Dewpoint 24°F (-4°C)
Visibility 8.00 mi
Heat Index90°F (32°C)
Last update 11 Jul 07:35 PM MDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles N Mesa Verde National Park CO

Heat Advisory until July 13, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory
  •  
    Heat Advisory until July 13, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Mon

    Heat Advisory

  • Tonight

    Low: 71 °F

    Patchy Smoke
    and Breezy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 94. Breezy, with an east southeast wind 15 to 20 mph becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

    High: 94 °F

    Sunny and
    Breezy then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming east southeast in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny during the morning, then mostly cloudy during the afternoon, with a high near 89. Breezy, with an east southeast wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny and
    Breezy then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. East wind 5 to 15 mph.

    Low: 64 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.

    Low: 64 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.

    High: 83 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Patchy smoke before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Breezy, with a west wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east southeast 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 94. Breezy, with an east southeast wind 15 to 20 mph becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming east southeast in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny during the morning, then mostly cloudy during the afternoon, with a high near 89. Breezy, with an east southeast wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Monday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. East wind 5 to 15 mph.
Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 84.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles N Mesa Verde National Park CO
 37.24°N 108.5°W (Elev. 6998 ft)
Last Update:
5:02 pm MDT Jul 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
7pm MDT Jul 11, 2026-6pm MDT Jul 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation