Heavy Lake Effect Snow Downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario; Fire Weather Concerns in the Southern Plains and Southeast

A multi-day heavy lake effect snow event is expected downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario through New Year's Day. There is increasing confidence in snow squalls causing bursts of snow & gusty winds on New Year's Eve. Elevated fire weather conditions will continue today over parts of the Southern Plains and across much of the Southeast U.S. Read More >

Current conditions at

Cortez-Montezuma County Airport (KCEZ)

Lat: 37.30706°NLon: 108.62644°WElev: 5902.0ft.

Clear

45°F

7°C

Humidity 30%
Wind Speed SSW 12 MPH
Barometer 30.4 in (1029.46 mb)
Dewpoint 16°F (-9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill39°F (4°C)
Last update 30 Dec 02:20 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

Mancos CO

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 48. West wind around 5 mph.

    High: 48 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 20 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming west in the morning.

    High: 51 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Snow showers likely before midnight, then snow showers likely, possibly mixed with rain between midnight and 2am, then rain showers likely after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Low: 26 °F

    Snow Showers
    Likely then
    Rain/Snow
    Likely

  • New Year's Day

    New Year's Day: Showers.  High near 44. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 44 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers.  Low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 30 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers likely, mainly before 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 25.

    Low: 25 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 49.

    High: 49 °F

    Partly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Sunny, with a high near 48. West wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming west in the morning.
Wednesday Night
Snow showers likely before midnight, then snow showers likely, possibly mixed with rain between midnight and 2am, then rain showers likely after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
New Year's Day
Showers. High near 44. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Thursday Night
Showers. Low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Friday
Showers likely, mainly before 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 49.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 48.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 24.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Mancos CO
 37.35°N 108.28°W (Elev. 7123 ft)
2:21 pm MST Dec 30, 2025
2pm MST Dec 30, 2025-6pm MST Jan 5, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database