Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Fair

86°F

30°C

Humidity 63%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.03 in (1016.0 mb)
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 9.00 mi
Heat Index92°F (33°C)
Last update 4 Jul 8:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SSW Esmont VA

Extreme Heat Warning July 4, 10:00am until July 4, 09:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Extreme Heat Warning
  • Independence Day

    Independence Day: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Some of the storms could be severe.  Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Heat index values as high as 113. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 102 °F

    Sunny then
    Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then isolated showers between midnight and 1am. Some of the storms could be severe.  Patchy fog after 5am.  Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 72 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms
    then Isolated
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Patchy fog before 7am.  Otherwise, sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 108. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 99 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 91. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 91 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers.  Low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 88 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 88 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Independence Day
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Heat index values as high as 113. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then isolated showers between midnight and 1am. Some of the storms could be severe. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 108. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A slight chance of showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 91. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SSW Esmont VA
 37.8°N 78.63°W (Elev. 561 ft)
9:08 am EDT Jul 4, 2026
9am EDT Jul 4, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 10, 2026
 
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