Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall from the Plains to the Mid-Atlantic

Severe thunderstorms producing damaging winds are most likely over parts of the Dakotas into Minnesota from this afternoon into the overnight, with other isolated storms producing hail or wind over the northern High Plains. In the Northern Plains into the Upper Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic, heavy to excessive rain may bring flash and urban flooding through Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Overcast

79°F

26°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed NE 6 mph
Barometer 30.03 in (1016.0 mb)
Dewpoint 73°F (23°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index82°F (28°C)
Last update 7 Jul 12:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SSE Esmont VA

Flood Watch until July 8, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch until July 8, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Wed

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 88 °F

    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then isolated showers after 5am.  Patchy fog after 11pm. Low around 69. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 69 °F

    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 4pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm.  Patchy fog before 10am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 7pm and 5am, then showers likely after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 92 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 88. Heat index values as high as 100. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then isolated showers after 5am. Patchy fog after 11pm. Low around 69. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 4pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 7pm and 5am, then showers likely after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SSE Esmont VA
 37.79°N 78.6°W (Elev. 472 ft)
12:47 pm EDT Jul 7, 2026
1pm EDT Jul 7, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 13, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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