Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Fair

62°F

17°C

Humidity 84%
Wind Speed W 3 mph
Barometer 29.82 in (1009.2 mb)
Dewpoint 57°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Jun 6:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SSE Keene VA

  • Today

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 89. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 69 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 101. Southwest wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    High: 95 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 87.

    High: 87 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 89.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 89. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 101. Southwest wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 87.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 60.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 89.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SSE Keene VA
 37.83°N 78.54°W (Elev. 400 ft)
4:53 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
7am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

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