National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Areas of Severe Thunderstorms, Excessive Rainfall, and Extreme Heat Saturday

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into the Tennessee Valley Saturday. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys Saturday. Extreme heat will continue for the Intermountain West and Plains. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Fair

86°F

30°C

Humidity 59%
Wind Speed NE 7 mph
Barometer 29.94 in (1013.1 mb)
Dewpoint 70°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index91°F (33°C)
Last update 11 Jul 3:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Keene VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 90. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 90 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 68 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 81. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 81 °F

    Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 65 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 78. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 78 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.

    High: 87 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 67.

    Low: 67 °F

    Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 95.

    High: 95 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 90. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 81. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 78. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 67.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 95.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 71.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 95.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 71.
Friday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 95. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Keene VA
 37.86°N 78.56°W (Elev. 499 ft)
Last Update:
2:23 pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4pm EDT Jul 11, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation