National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall on the Western Gulf Coast; Severe Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains Friday

A multi-day heavy rainfall event will continue over the western Gulf Coast through Monday. Slight Risks of excessive rainfall have been issued, and Flood Watches remain in effect through Monday evening. Scattered severe storms capable of producing large hail and damaging winds are possible across western portions of Texas and Oklahoma on Friday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Light Rain Fog/Mist

54°F

12°C

Humidity 97%
Wind Speed N 6 mph
Barometer 30.23 in (1023.3 mb)
Dewpoint 53°F (12°C)
Visibility 4.00 mi
Wind Chill52°F (11°C)
Last update 22 May 3:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles WNW Keene VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Showers. Low around 55. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 55 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 60. Northeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 51. Northeast wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 63. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 63 °F

    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 56. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 77 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Memorial Day

    Memorial Day: A chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 81. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 81 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Showers. Low around 55. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 60. Northeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 51. Northeast wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 63. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 56. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Memorial Day
A chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 81. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles WNW Keene VA
 37.88°N 78.62°W (Elev. 499 ft)
Last Update:
2:22 am EDT May 22, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4am EDT May 22, 2026-6pm EDT May 28, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation