National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Eagles Nest Airport (KW13)

Lat: 38.08°NLon: 78.94°WElev: 1437ft.

Fair

93°F

34°C

Humidity 49%
Wind Speed SW 5 mph
Barometer 30.07 in
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index100°F (38°C)
Last update 4 Jul 12:15 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Crozet VA

Extreme Heat Warning until July 4, 09:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Extreme Heat Warning
  •  
    Extreme Heat Warning until July 4, 09:00pm

    NOW until 9:00pm Sat

    Extreme Heat Warning

  • Independence Day

    High: 100 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then isolated showers between 1am and 2am. Some of the storms could be severe. Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 73 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms
    and Patchy
    Fog

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 4pm and 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Heat index values as high as 106. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 97 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 90. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 87 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Independence Day
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 4pm and 5pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Increasing clouds and hot, with a high near 100. Heat index values as high as 110. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then isolated showers between 1am and 2am. Some of the storms could be severe. Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 4pm and 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Heat index values as high as 106. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 90. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Crozet VA
 38.05°N 78.7°W (Elev. 620 ft)
Last Update:
10:52 am EDT Jul 4, 2026
Forecast Valid:
12pm EDT Jul 4, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 10, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation