National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Thunderstorm

79°F

26°C

Humidity 69%
Wind Speed SW 14 G 30 mph
Barometer 29.98 in (1014.3 mb)
Dewpoint 68°F (20°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index81°F (27°C)
Last update 4 Jul 5:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles ESE Rio VA

Severe T-storm Watch until July 4, 10:00pm
Extreme Heat Warning July 4, 06:32pm until July 4, 09:00pm
Severe T-storm Warning until July 4, 07:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
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  •  
    Severe T-storm Watch until July 4, 10:00pm
    Extreme Heat Warning July 4, 06:32pm until July 4, 09:00pm
    Severe T-storm Warning until July 4, 07:00pm

    NOW: Multiple hazards in effect

    Click HERE for Details

  • Tonight

    Low: 74 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms
    and Patchy
    Fog

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny and hot, with a high near 98. Heat index values as high as 104. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 98 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 72 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 90. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 90 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am. Low around 69. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 87 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 88 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then isolated showers between 11pm and 2am. Some of the storms could be severe. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny and hot, with a high near 98. Heat index values as high as 104. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A slight chance of showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 90. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am. Low around 69. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles ESE Rio VA
 38.07°N 78.44°W (Elev. 400 ft)
Last Update:
4:53 pm EDT Jul 4, 2026
Forecast Valid:
6pm EDT Jul 4, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation