National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Overcast

61°F

16°C

Humidity 93%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.77 in (1007.7 mb)
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 12 Oct 2:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Commonwealth VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A chance of showers, mainly before 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    High: 78 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Calm wind.

    Low: 53 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 61. West wind 3 to 6 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 87.

    High: 87 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Mostly Clear
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 75 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers, mainly before 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Columbus Day
Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 61. West wind 3 to 6 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 87.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Breezy.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 57. Breezy.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 58.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Commonwealth VA
 38.07°N 78.5°W (Elev. 548 ft)
Last Update:
2:24 am EDT Oct 12, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3am EDT Oct 12, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation