Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Overcast

63°F

17°C

Humidity 73%
Wind Speed NE 10 mph
Barometer 30.30 in (1025.8 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Oct 7:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles NNW Commonwealth VA

Flood Watch October 11, 05:00am until October 12, 02:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  Low around 59. Northeast wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

    Low: 59 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  High near 70. Northeast wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

    High: 70 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  Low around 63. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 63 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A chance of showers, mainly before 7am.  Partly sunny through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 76. Northwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 76 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Calm wind.

    Low: 55 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 80.

    High: 80 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 83.

    High: 83 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59.

    Low: 59 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 59. Northeast wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 70. Northeast wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 63. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers, mainly before 7am. Partly sunny through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 76. Northwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 83.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 71.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Basemap Options
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles NNW Commonwealth VA
 38.12°N 78.52°W (Elev. 430 ft)
7:53 pm EDT Oct 10, 2026
8pm EDT Oct 10, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 17, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database