National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Fair

78°F

26°C

Humidity 50%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.82 in (1009.2 mb)
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index79°F (26°C)
Last update 17 Jun 9:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles NW Commonwealth VA

  • Today

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 88. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a low around 68. South wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 68 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Breezy, with a southwest wind 14 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

    High: 94 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Mostly
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers, mainly between 8am and 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 89.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 88. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight
Increasing clouds, with a low around 68. South wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Breezy, with a southwest wind 14 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers, mainly between 8am and 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 89.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles NW Commonwealth VA
 38.12°N 78.52°W (Elev. 430 ft)
Last Update:
10:20 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
10am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation