Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Fair

71°F

22°C

Humidity 55%
Wind Speed S 3 mph
Barometer 29.80 in (1008.6 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 8:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SW Earlysville VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers between 1am and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 88. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    Low: 67 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Breezy, with a southwest wind 14 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 95 °F

    Breezy.
    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light southwest  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 85 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A slight chance of showers between 1am and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Wednesday Night
Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Breezy, with a southwest wind 14 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 60.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SW Earlysville VA
 38.14°N 78.52°W (Elev. 499 ft)
7:53 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
9pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database