Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Intermountain West and East Coast

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Intermountain West and East Coast states. Flooding, gusty winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, record warmth will spread northward across the Mississippi Valley the next few days. Looking for snow, the first winter storm of the season is underway across the northern Rockies. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Overcast

63°F

17°C

Humidity 97%
Wind Speed NE 8 mph
Barometer 29.85 in (1010.4 mb)
Dewpoint 62°F (17°C)
Visibility 9.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 4:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Earlysville VA

Flood Watch October 11, 05:19pm until October 12, 02:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 11, 05:19pm until October 12, 02:00am

    NOW until 2:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 63 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers.  Low around 61. Light and variable wind becoming west around 6 mph after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 61 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. North wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    High: 77 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Calm wind.

    Low: 54 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 81 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 63. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers. Low around 61. Light and variable wind becoming west around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. North wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 56.
Basemap Options
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Earlysville VA
 38.16°N 78.46°W (Elev. 499 ft)
4:54 pm EDT Oct 11, 2026
5pm EDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database