Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall from the Plains to the Mid-Atlantic

Severe thunderstorms producing damaging winds are most likely over parts of the Dakotas into Minnesota from this afternoon into the overnight, with other isolated storms producing hail or wind over the northern High Plains. In the Northern Plains into the Upper Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic, heavy to excessive rain may bring flash and urban flooding through Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Mostly Cloudy

75°F

24°C

Humidity 90%
Wind Speed E 3 mph
Barometer 30.03 in (1016.3 mb)
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 7 Jul 9:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Earlysville VA

Flood Watch July 7, 12:00pm until July 8, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  • Today

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 4pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm.  High near 86. East wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 86 °F

    Isolated
    Showers then
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then isolated showers after 5am.  Patchy fog after 11pm.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 71 °F

    T-storms
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am.  Patchy fog before 11am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 88 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm.  Low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 90 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 4pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. High near 86. East wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then isolated showers after 5am. Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Earlysville VA
 38.16°N 78.49°W (Elev. 600 ft)
9:25 am EDT Jul 7, 2026
10am EDT Jul 7, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 13, 2026
 
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