National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport (KCHO)

Lat: 38.14°NLon: 78.46°WElev: 640ft.

Fair

66°F

19°C

Humidity 75%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.83 in (1009.4 mb)
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Jun 7:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles NW Earlysville VA

  • Today

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 87 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a low around 68. South wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Low: 68 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Southwest wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.

    High: 93 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers, mainly between 8am and 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 88.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight
Increasing clouds, with a low around 68. South wind 3 to 7 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Southwest wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers, mainly between 8am and 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles NW Earlysville VA
 38.19°N 78.51°W (Elev. 597 ft)
Last Update:
7:53 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation