Thunderstorms and Heavy Rains in the Appalachians

Multiple rounds of moderate to locally heavy rain will impact portions of the Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic, which may lead to flash flooding concerns. Thunderstorms with isolated severe wind gusts will be possible this afternoon from parts of the Southeast into the southern and central Appalachians. A multi-day heavy rain will pose a flash flood threat in New Mexico beginning Tuesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

JAY (JAYC2)

Lat: 38.84558°NLon: 107.73853°WElev: 6267.0ft.

NA

78°F

26°C

Humidity 23%
Wind Speed SSW 3 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 37°F (3°C)
Visibility NA
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 21 Sep 12:52 PM MDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles ESE Paonia CO

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 69 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. West wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast in the evening.

    Low: 52 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the morning.

    High: 71 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 52 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 65 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 65 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.

    Low: 52 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

    High: 65 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. West wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast in the evening.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the morning.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Friday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 65.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles ESE Paonia CO
 38.83°N 107.5°W (Elev. 7198 ft)
12:31 pm MDT Sep 21, 2026
1pm MDT Sep 21, 2026-6pm MDT Sep 27, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database