Fire Weather Concerns and Severe Thunderstorms through the Weekend

Dry and windy conditions, and some dry thunderstorms and lightning, may support hazardous fire activity in the northern Plains, high southern Plains and the Southwest this weekend. An active severe weather pattern is forecast for portions of the central and southern High Plains into the Upper Midwest through early the part of next week. Damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes are possible. Read More >

Current conditions at

JAY (JAYC2)

Lat: 38.84558°NLon: 107.73853°WElev: 6267.0ft.

NA

63°F

17°C

Humidity 16%
Wind Speed NE 4 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 16°F (-9°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 15 May 11:52 PM MDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles NNW Hotchkiss CO

Red Flag Warning May 16, 12:00pm until May 16, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Red Flag Warning
  • Overnight

    Overnight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming northeast.

    Low: 55 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm.  Sunny, with a high near 85. Breezy, with a light and variable wind becoming west southwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

    Low: 49 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 74 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 45. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south southeast 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 45 °F

    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  High near 58. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 58 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers before 9pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 37.

    Low: 37 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.

    High: 64 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37.

    Low: 37 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming northeast.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Sunny, with a high near 85. Breezy, with a light and variable wind becoming west southwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 45. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south southeast 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. High near 58. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 37.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 71.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 41.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 76.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 81.
Basemap Options
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles NNW Hotchkiss CO
 38.84°N 107.73°W (Elev. 6070 ft)
1:21 am MDT May 16, 2026
1am MDT May 16, 2026-6pm MDT May 22, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database