Severe Weather in the Central Plains; Fire Concerns in the Southern High Plains and Southwest; Late-Season Mountain Snow

Severe storms, including large hail, wind, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes, are possible in the central Plains. Dry, windy conditions and lightning from dry thunderstorms may produce hazardous fire conditions in the Southwest and southern High Plains. Late-season snow is expected in the Northwest and the Great Basin. Heat is spreading across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

JAY (JAYC2)

Lat: 38.84558°NLon: 107.73853°WElev: 6267.0ft.

NA

80°F

27°C

Humidity 12%
Wind Speed W 8 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 23°F (-5°C)
Visibility NA
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 16 May 11:52 AM MDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles NNW Hotchkiss CO

Red Flag Warning until May 16, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Red Flag Warning
  •  
    Red Flag Warning until May 16, 08:00pm

    NOW until 8:00pm Sat

    Red Flag Warning

  • This Afternoon

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11pm.  Increasing clouds, with a low around 51. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

    Low: 51 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 73 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 9pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9pm and midnight, then a chance of showers after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east northeast in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 46 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers before 9am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 9am and noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  High near 58. South southeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 58 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.

    Low: 39 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.

    High: 64 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.

    Low: 39 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Sunny, with a high near 85. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Tonight
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11pm. Increasing clouds, with a low around 51. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Light and variable wind becoming west southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 9pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9pm and midnight, then a chance of showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east northeast in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday
Showers before 9am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 9am and noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. High near 58. South southeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 71.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 75.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 79.
Basemap Options
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles NNW Hotchkiss CO
 38.84°N 107.73°W (Elev. 6070 ft)
10:31 am MDT May 16, 2026
12pm MDT May 16, 2026-6pm MDT May 22, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database