Strong Storms and Heavy Rainfall Threats; Dangerous Heat for Southern Plains into the Southwest

Thunderstorms, some severe, will impact areas of the Plains into the Midwest today. Rainfall can be locally heavy as well from these storms with isolated instances of flash flooding. Monsoonal flow will enhance rainfall across the Four Corners into the central Rockies today. Meanwhile, summer heat continues for the southern Plains, Southwest into southern California. Read More >

Current conditions at

JAY (JAYC2)

Lat: 38.84558°NLon: 107.73853°WElev: 6267.0ft.

NA

85°F

29°C

Humidity 24%
Wind Speed WSW 7 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 44°F (7°C)
Visibility NA
Heat Index82°F (28°C)
Last update 25 Aug 11:52 AM MDT
Extended Forecast for

10 Miles NW Paonia CO

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming northwest.

    High: 76 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers after 5am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 54 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 77 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.

    Low: 54 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 77 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.

    Low: 54 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

    High: 78 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.

    Low: 55 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 76.

    High: 76 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming northwest.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 76.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 71.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 71.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
10 Miles NW Paonia CO
 38.97°N 107.75°W (Elev. 8652 ft)
12:31 pm MDT Aug 25, 2026
12pm MDT Aug 25, 2026-6pm MDT Aug 31, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database