National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Fire Weather Concerns and Severe Thunderstorms through the Weekend

Dry and windy conditions, and some dry thunderstorms and lightning, may support hazardous fire activity in the northern Plains, high southern Plains and the Southwest this weekend. An active severe weather pattern is forecast for portions of the central and southern High Plains into the Upper Midwest through early the part of next week. Damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes are possible. Read More >

Current conditions at

JAY (JAYC2)

Lat: 38.84558°NLon: 107.73853°WElev: 6267.0ft.

NA

63°F

17°C

Humidity 16%
Wind Speed NE 4 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 16°F (-9°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 15 May 11:52 PM MDT
Extended Forecast for

13 Miles NNW Paonia CO

  • Today

    Today: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. Breezy, with a southwest wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

    High: 56 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of rain showers before 11pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 11pm and 4am, then a chance of snow showers after 4am. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Low: 29 °F

    Chance
    Rain/Snow and
    Breezy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Snow showers likely before 3pm, then snow showers likely, possibly mixed with rain. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Light southwest wind increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    High: 45 °F

    Snow Showers
    Likely then
    Rain/Snow
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Snow showers, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 9pm. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 23. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

    Low: 23 °F

    Rain/Snow
    then Snow
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. High near 30. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    High: 30 °F

    Snow Showers
    then Snow
    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 15.

    Low: 15 °F

    Chance Snow
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.

    High: 36 °F

    Slight Chance
    Snow Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 17.

    Low: 17 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 44.

    High: 44 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. Breezy, with a southwest wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
Tonight
A chance of rain showers before 11pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 11pm and 4am, then a chance of snow showers after 4am. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Sunday
Snow showers likely before 3pm, then snow showers likely, possibly mixed with rain. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Light southwest wind increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Sunday Night
Snow showers, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 9pm. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 23. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Monday
Snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. High near 30. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Monday Night
A 30 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 15.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 17.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 44.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 22.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 49.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 26.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 54.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...
Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
13 Miles NNW Paonia CO
 39.04°N 107.67°W (Elev. 10459 ft)
Last Update:
3:36 am MDT May 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5am MDT May 16, 2026-6pm MDT May 22, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation