National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Fire Weather Concerns and Severe Thunderstorms through the Weekend

Dry and windy conditions, and some dry thunderstorms and lightning, may support hazardous fire activity in the northern Plains, high southern Plains and the Southwest this weekend. An active severe weather pattern is forecast for portions of the central and southern High Plains into the Upper Midwest through early the part of next week. Damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes are possible. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Sunlight (K5SM)

Lat: 39.42556°NLon: 107.37917°WElev: 10604.0ft.

Partly Cloudy

45°F

7°C

Humidity 24%
Wind Speed NA NA MPH
Barometer 30.25 in (1024.38 mb)
Dewpoint 10°F (-12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 May 11:35 PM MDT
Extended Forecast for

17 Miles WSW Carbondale CO

Red Flag Warning May 16, 12:00pm until May 16, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Red Flag Warning

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east.

    Low: 42 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. Breezy, with an east wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.

    High: 60 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Rain showers likely before 5am, then rain and snow showers likely. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming west southwest 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Low: 36 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy then
    Rain/Snow
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Rain and snow showers likely, becoming all rain after noon. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    High: 48 °F

    Rain/Snow
    Likely then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Rain, possibly mixed with snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 27. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 27 °F

    Rain/Snow

  • Monday

    Monday: Snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. High near 34. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    High: 34 °F

    Snow Showers
    then Snow
    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Low: 22 °F

    Chance Snow
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of snow showers, mainly before noon. Some thunder is also possible. Partly sunny, with a high near 39.

    High: 39 °F

    Chance Snow
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 24.

    Low: 24 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east.
Saturday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. Breezy, with an east wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Saturday Night
Rain showers likely before 5am, then rain and snow showers likely. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Breezy, with a west southwest wind 15 to 20 mph becoming west southwest 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Sunday
Rain and snow showers likely, becoming all rain after noon. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Sunday Night
Rain, possibly mixed with snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 27. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday
Snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. High near 34. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Monday Night
A 30 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.
Tuesday
A chance of snow showers, mainly before noon. Some thunder is also possible. Partly sunny, with a high near 39.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 24.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 52.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 35.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
17 Miles WSW Carbondale CO
 39.32°N 107.5°W (Elev. 9400 ft)
Last Update:
9:52 pm MDT May 15, 2026
Forecast Valid:
12am MDT May 16, 2026-6pm MDT May 22, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation