Severe Thunderstorms in the Northeast and Northern Plains; Critical Fire Weather in the West

Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts and hail are forecast across the Northeast U.S. and North Dakota today. Heavy to excessive rainfall is possible over eastern New Mexico into western Texas and over the western Florida peninsula today. Critical fire weather conditions will persist today over parts of the interior Northwest and Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

JAY (JAYC2)

Lat: 38.84558°NLon: 107.73853°WElev: 6267.0ft.

NA

78°F

26°C

Humidity 30%
Wind Speed S 2 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 44°F (7°C)
Visibility NA
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 03 Jul 09:52 AM MDT
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles SE Paonia CO

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 68. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 68 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3am, then a slight chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Independence Day

    Independence Day: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. West wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 69 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. West wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east after midnight.

    Low: 54 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 74. East wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon.

    High: 74 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 55.

    Low: 55 °F

    Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 75.

    High: 75 °F

    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Sunny, with a high near 76.

    High: 76 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 68. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Independence Day
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. West wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. West wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east after midnight.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 74. East wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 55.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 75.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Monday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 76.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 78.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 79.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles SE Paonia CO
 38.81°N 107.53°W (Elev. 9049 ft)
8:07 am MDT Jul 3, 2025
10am MDT Jul 3, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 9, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database