National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Southwest Monsoon Flooding; Northern Tier Storms and Fire Weather Threats

Monsoon rains up to 2 to 4 inches in some portions of Arizona and into Mexico may produce flash flooding of normally dry washes and potential for burn scar debris flows. A weather system may produce severe storms with damaging winds and large hail in the Upper Midwest. Gusty winds in the North Plains will keep fire weather threats critical. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Cortez-Montezuma County Airport (KCEZ)

Lat: 37.30706°NLon: 108.62644°WElev: 5902ft.

Clear

82°F

28°C

Humidity 45%
Wind Speed ENE 17 MPH
Barometer 30.13 in (1020.32 mb)
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index82°F (28°C)
Last update 23 Jul 05:15 PM MDT
Extended Forecast for

7 Miles NNE Mesa Verde National Park CO

Flash Flood Watch until July 24, 03:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flash Flood Watch
  •  
    Flash Flood Watch until July 24, 03:00am

    NOW until
    3:00am Sat

    Flash Flood Watch

  • This
    Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. North northwest wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Heavy Rain

    High: 80 °F

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. East northeast wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Heavy Rain

    Low: 61 °F

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between noon and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

    High: 79 °F

  • Saturday
    Night

    Saturday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. East wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

    Low: 60 °F

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

    High: 78 °F

  • Sunday
    Night

    Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

    Low: 62 °F

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

    High: 77 °F

  • Monday
    Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61.

    Chance
    T-storms

    Low: 61 °F

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. North northwest wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. East northeast wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between noon and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 81.
Click Map For Forecast
Disclaimer
Map Legend
Point Forecast:
7 Miles NNE Mesa Verde National Park CO
 37.29°N 108.45°W (Elev. 7507 ft)
Last Update:
3:12 pm MDT Jul 23, 2021
Forecast Valid:
5pm MDT Jul 23, 2021-6pm MDT Jul 30, 2021
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation