389
FXUS64 KCRP 200933
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
433 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 414 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Tropical Storm Alberto is nearing landfall along the Mexico coast
early this morning. All tropical storm watches have been cancelled
for the Texas coast as wind speeds have decreased and will continue
to decrease.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to
impact the southern Coastal Bend and west across South Texas this
morning with a few brief tropical tornadoes still possible.
Additional rainfall for most of the area will be an inch or less,
though a few bands of heavier convection are still noted and could
produce another inch or two of rain.

Coastal flooding will persist along the coast today into tomorrow
for gulf facing areas, and will likely persist longer along the bays
as water will take some time to get back to normal. Expect
inundation of up to 3 feet to continue in these areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 414 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Deep moisture will persist through the end of the week and into
the weekend across the area and scattered showers and
thunderstorms will remain in the forecast. NHC is also monitoring
another area (yes, really) of potential tropical development in
the southern Gulf of Mexico/Bay of Campeche There is a 50 percent
chance of development over the next 7 days for this area as
conditions become more conducive to gradual development into next
week. Outside of this potential development, it would appear
things should get a bit drier early next week as mid level ridging
is expected to sink southward.

Temperatures gradually warm into next week and will be back to
normal by early to mid-week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Numerous showers and occasional storms will continue across South
Texas terminals mainly south and west of I-37 through the morning
hours as T.S. Alberto approaches the coast of Mexico well to our
south. Will carry prevailing MVFR conditions with tempo groups for
strong wind gusts and IFR conditions in heavy rain through the
morning. Expect showers with occasional thunder to persist through
Thursday afternoon with MVFR ceilings with rain gradually
tapering off by Thursday evening. Winds will gradually turn from
more northerly direction to easterly through the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 414 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Tropical Storm warnings have been cancelled for the Texas coastal
waters. Small craft advisories are no in effect. Winds will
remain elevated through late tonight with very rough seas
persisting. The seas will be slow to subside, and may require the
small craft advisory to be extended. Scattered showers will remain
in the forecast through the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    89  79  90  78 /  80  60  60  30
Victoria          88  75  89  73 /  60  40  60  10
Laredo            89  76  91  75 /  80  60  70  30
Alice             88  75  91  74 /  80  60  60  20
Rockport          91  81  92  81 /  80  70  60  30
Cotulla           88  77  93  76 /  70  50  60  10
Kingsville        89  77  90  76 /  80  60  70  30
Navy Corpus       90  83  89  82 /  80  70  70  50

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch until noon CDT today for TXZ229>231-239>243-342-343-
     442-443.

     Coastal Flood Warning until 7 PM CDT Friday for TXZ245-342>345-
     347-442-443-447.

     Wind Advisory until noon CDT today for TXZ245-342>347-442-443-
     447.

     High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for TXZ345-442-
     443-447.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for GMZ231-232-236-
     237.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ250-255-270-
     275.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PH/83
LONG TERM....PH/83
AVIATION...JM