Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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811 FXUS65 KFGZ 251211 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 511 AM MST Sat May 25 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Dry and breezy weather continues across northern Arizona today. Lighter winds and a noticeable warming trend will arrive by Sunday, continuing through much of next week. && .DISCUSSION...A s/wv trough will move through the eastern Great Basin today, passing to our north. This leaves us on the dry and windy side of the trough, with a few degrees of cooling as we are brushed by the colder air. Wind speeds will peak today, with the strongest winds east of Flagstaff and north of the Mogollon Rim. Most areas will stay just below Wind Advisory criteria, a few areas may sneak above, but not enough for wind headlines. However, winds will be high enough, when combined with a very dry airmass, to warrant a Red Flag warning toady, predominately for the Little Colorado River Valley and Chinle Valley. After today, hghts begin to rise over northern Arizona, lasting through next week. this will allow for much less wind, warmer temperatures and continued dry weather. && .AVIATION...Saturday 25/12Z through Sunday 26/12Z...VFR conditions persist. SW winds today, increasing through the morning. Afternoon gusts ranging from 30-40 kts. Winds gradually slack this evening and tonight OUTLOOK...Sunday 26/12Z through Tuesday 28/12Z...VFR conditions continue to persist. SW-W winds 5-15 kts on Sunday and Monday. && .FIRE WEATHER...Today and Sunday...Near-critical to critical fire weather conditions today across the Little Colorado River Valley. Elsewhere across northern Arizona will experience elevated fire weather conditions with afternoon winds gusts 25-40 mph and min RHs falling into the 20s to upper teens. Overnight recoveries tonight will see most getting above 50 percent. Notably lower RHs for Sunday but much lighter winds. Monday through Wednesday...Temperatures will be warming Monday through Wednesday with min RHs falling into the low teens and single digits. Overnight recoveries will become worse, only jumping into the 20s and 30s by mid week. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning from 11 AM MST /noon MDT/ this morning to 6 PM MST /7 PM MDT/ this evening for AZZ110-112>114. && $$ PUBLIC...Peterson AVIATION...RKR FIRE WEATHER...RKR For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff