Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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539 FXUS64 KOHX 111732 AAA AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Nashville TN 1232 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Wednesday) Issued at 1042 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Surface high pressure is centered to our north, with Middle Tennessee still on the "cool side" of the ridge. The spring-like temperatures we are currently enjoying will not last much longer. During the next couple of days, the surface ridge will slide across the mid state, and summer will then come at us quickly. Until then, the atmosphere remains very dry. (The morning Precipitable Water at OHX was only 0.44", which is close to a record low value for June 11.) && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1042 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 By Thursday, many Middle Tennessee locations will reach 90 degrees or better. Temperatures will keep increasing through Sunday, when expected highs will get very close to triple digits. Beyond Sunday, there are low rain chance beginning on Monday, but the models really start to diverge at this point; we might not see rain until later in the week, in fact. While temperatures will back off somewhat next week, we will stay above normal for the foreseeable future. Even the 8-14 day outlook keeps us above normal. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Generally VFR Conditions can be expected over the next 24 hours with a few northerly wind gusts up to 15kts through 00Z. Do not think FG will be as widespread of an issue overnight although can not rule out some reduced visitibilities towards sunrise at KSRB mainly. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 56 86 61 92 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 53 83 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 51 82 58 86 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 54 86 58 91 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 53 82 58 87 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 51 82 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 54 84 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 54 86 58 92 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 55 84 58 89 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Rose LONG TERM....Rose AVIATION.....Hurley