450
FXUS64 KSJT 260926
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
426 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 406 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to push eastward
across the Concho Valley and Heartland as of 4 AM. The
combination of abundant elevated instability, the retreating
dryline, and a subtle shortwave aloft led to these storms rapidly
developing over our area. Storms should exit the area by around
daybreak. Expect another hot day across west central Texas.
Temperatures will climb into the upper 90s to lower 100s under
mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows will dip into the lower 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 354 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

....Unsettled Pattern to Return Next Week...

Hot weather will continue for Memorial Day as an upper-level
ridge persists over northern Mexico. Numerical guidance suggests
yet another day of triple-digit heat with low overall rain
chances.

Starting Tuesday, the pattern looks to become unsettled again as an
upper-level trough becomes established over the eastern US and puts
the southern Plains into northwest flow.  Models show multiple
shortwave impulses aloft riding over the north edge of the weakening
ridge through Friday.  Warm temperatures in the low to mid 90s will
be expected each afternoon with plenty of Gulf moisture in place due
to southeast surface flow.  A cold front should also dip into west
central Texas late Monday night into Tuesday and stall through
Wednesday. Thunderstorms should develop along both the front and the
dryline late Tuesday with lingering convection possible Wednesday.
The front should lift back northward on Thursday and provide even
more chances for showers and thunderstorms through Friday.
Conditions through the entire week are likely to be warm and muggy.
However, local conditions may be impacted at times by cloud cover

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Isolated showers and thunderstorms may begin to develop along the
dry line to our west and move eastward into our area over the next
few hours. Confidence in overall coverage of storms is low and
kept a mention of VCTS out of the TAFS. Will continue to monitor
radar and satellite trends and amend as necessary. Otherwise,
periods of patchy mist and haze is possible overnight and into the
hours. Winds will become westerly during the day with VFR
conditions prevailing.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     97  65  97  70 /   0   0   0  10
San Angelo 101  63 103  71 /   0   0   0  10
Junction   104  66 106  72 /   0   0  10  10
Brownwood   97  64  96  69 /   0   0   0  10
Sweetwater  97  66  98  71 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       99  66 102  72 /   0   0   0  10
Brady       96  65  98  70 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...42