457
FXUS64 KSJT 190712
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
212 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Little change to the forecast the next 24 hours. Short wave ridging
will prevail across the southern Plains, with dry and unseasonably
warm temperatures continuing. Skies will be mostly clear tonight,
with overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. Temperatures tomorrow
will be very near or perhaps a degree or two warmer than today,
with afternoon highs topping out in the mid and upper 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 212 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Expect hot and mainly dry conditions through Saturday as a strong
upper level ridge centers over the Southern Plains. Temperatures
will be above normal with highs in the 90s. Will see a change in the
pattern as the ridge breaks down with weak cyclonic flow setting
up over our area and a cold front moving into the area by Sunday
night. The global models indicating a stronger upper level trough
middle of next week. However, The ensembles are weaker with this
system and still have time to watch. This all means increasing
upper level support, some instability and abundant moisture
leading to the NBM giving low to medium chances of showers and
thunderstorms early to middle of next week. Also, cooler
temperatures from Sunday onward with highs in the 80s to lower 90s
Sunday and mainly 80s next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

A similar pattern to what we saw early Wednesday morning, with
low clouds and MVFR cigs expected to develop and push north into
the Edwards PLateau and perhaps Concho Valley just after sunrise
Thursday morning. Should again be short lived with low clouds
dissipating by mid to late morning with VFR skies then prevailing.
South to southeast winds will also continue and will also
continue to be gusty at times during daylight hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     97  73  97  72 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  97  72  97  72 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    95  71  95  69 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   96  72  96  70 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  97  73  96  73 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       93  71  93  72 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       94  71  95  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...07