408
FXUS64 KSJT 190516
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1216 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Little change to the forecast the next 24 hours. Short wave ridging
will prevail across the southern Plains, with dry and unseasonably
warm temperatures continuing. Skies will be mostly clear tonight,
with overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. Temperatures tomorrow
will be very near or perhaps a degree or two warmer than today,
with afternoon highs topping out in the mid and upper 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Above-normal and dry conditions are expected to continue on Friday
as the ridge persists. Things start to get a little more interesting
as a shortwave trough approaches this weekend from the west. Models
are still going back and forth on exactly how much of an impact this
system will have on our weather here in West Central Texas, so
there`s still quite a bit of uncertainty in our forecast starting
late Saturday and continuing into early next week. Right now, it
looks like the majority of rainfall with this system should remain
to our north. However, the GFS is showing the potential for some
rain this weekend through Monday along a frontal boundary associated
with this upper low. It looks like we could see breezy conditions
this weekend, with winds around 10 to 20 mph, with gusts approaching
30 mph at times. Additional rain chances will be possible along the
frontal boundary as its pushed south through our area Tuesday into
Wednesday. Cooler temperatures will accompany this system, likely
dropping highs back near-normal in the mid to upper 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

A similar pattern to what we saw early Wednesday morning, with
low clouds and MVFR cigs expected to develop and push north into
the Edwards PLateau and perhaps Concho Valley just after sunrise
Thursday morning. Should again be short lived with low clouds
dissipating by mid to late morning with VFR skies then prevailing.
South to southeast winds will also continue and will also
continue to be gusty at times during daylight hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     73  97  72  95 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  72  97  72  95 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    70  95  69  93 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   71  96  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  73  96  73  94 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       71  93  72  91 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       71  95  69  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...07