Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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497 FXUS64 KSJT 120610 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 110 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 143 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Line of showers and thunderstorms, associated with an outflow boundary from earlier storms...extended along a Menard to Mason to San Saba line early this afternoon. Movement was southeast. These storms will slowly develop southeast toward Junction this afternoon. The SPC has a slight risk of severe thunderstorms from Sonora to Junction to Mason this afternoon/evening...where SBCAPES are around 2000 J/KG and 0-6 KM shears around 35 KTS. An isolated severe storm possible. Main hazards are damaging winds and large hail. Could also see a strong/possible severe storm from Big Lake to Ozona to Sonora...where a outflow boundary and enhanced cumulus is visible. Elsewhere, just to the north of Haskell is a nearly stationary MVC. This may kick off isolated thunderstorms through this evening in the Big Country, and possibly into Wednesday. Kept a mention of isolated thunderstorms in east/southeastern section of the county warning area Wednesday, with remnant outflow boundaries and afternoon heating. Clouds temporarily return late tonight as a moist boundary layer is in place. This will scatter out mid to late morning. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 139 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 An upper level ridge centered across the Desert Southwest will slowly shift east, toward West Central Texas into the weekend, resulting in drier conditions and a steady increase in temperatures. Highs on Thursday will be in the low 90s to upper 90s, with highs this weekend in the mid 90s to near 100. Even hotter temperatures are forecast for the start of next week, with highs in the upper 90s to 102 for most locations. Overnight lows will generally be in the 70s. Unfortunately, dry conditions look to persist into the first part of next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1238 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024 VFR Conditions are expected through the first few hours of this TAF package, then MVFR ceilings are expected to work their way into all terminals early this morning through the 1500Z to 2000Z time frame. Light and variable winds will persist through this morning becoming more south to southeasterly around 10 knots by noon time today. May see a shower or two return for JCT and BBD area this morning, but uncertainty is still too high to include in the TAF at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 70 93 71 94 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 71 96 73 98 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 72 95 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 70 91 69 92 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 71 96 73 97 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 71 95 73 95 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 70 90 70 91 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...04 LONG TERM....Daniels AVIATION...TP