449
FXUS64 KTSA 050926
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
426 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

The remnants of the overnight MCS will be exiting our area early
this morning, with clearing skies expected in its wake. Afternoon
high temperatures will warm into the 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

We will see a short break from the nightly MCS activity we have
been seeing recently, but by Friday night, MCS potential will
increase again, especially in parts of northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. MCS potential will be greatest across the
entire forecast area Saturday night, with a cold front then likely
to push across the area Sunday. The passage of this front may
result in another break in precipitation chances early next
week, but models begin to diverge at this time, and shower and
storm chances may return as early as Tuesday of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 123 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

Storms in the near term will clear out from NW to SE. A brief
period of MVFR or IFR conditions can be expected with the storms,
with some chance for MVFR cigs behind them for a brief time.
Clouds will scatter out during the day on Wednesday with a north
to northwest wind up to around 15 kts. VFR conditions will prevail
thru the end of the forecast with winds subsiding toward sunset.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   86  65  89  64 /   0  10  10  10
FSM   88  64  92  67 /  20   0  10  10
MLC   87  63  91  66 /  10   0  10  10
BVO   85  61  88  58 /   0  10  10  10
FYV   82  59  87  58 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   82  60  87  59 /  10   0  10  10
MKO   85  62  90  65 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   82  61  86  59 /   0  10  10  10
F10   84  63  90  66 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   86  63  91  68 /  30   0  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30