Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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629
UXUS97 KGJT 211307
SRGGJT

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Grand Junction, Colorado
707 AM MDT Saturday, September 21, 2024

This forecast is for Saturday, September 21, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 78.3 F/25.7 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 0 ft/min (0.0 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 8095 ft MSL (3256 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 77.0 F/25.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1415 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 5814 ft MSL (975 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 09/22....... Fair

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:01:44 / 19:12:10 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 10 min 27 sec (730 min 27 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:06:57 MDT... 51.14 degrees

Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 09/21/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 14202 ft MSL (9363 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17526 ft MSL (12687 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16082 ft MSL (11242 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +3.3
K index......................... +16.6

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -62.6 -80.7   220   42   21   5.2   2.9   90.9 195.5    38.1      M    M
 45000  -56.1 -69.0   220   52   27   4.4   2.4   77.2 170.9    32.3      M    M
 40000  -49.7 -57.5   215   79   40   3.6   2.0   64.4 147.9    26.1      M    M
 38000  -47.9 -54.2   215   79   40   2.2   1.2   58.4 137.1    22.7      M    M
 36000  -46.0 -50.8   210   72   37   6.5   3.6   51.5 124.7    18.6      M    M
 34000  -43.0 -45.4   210   70   36   4.7   2.6   47.6 117.7    16.2      M    M
 32000  -39.9 -39.8   210   59   30   7.6   4.2   43.7 110.6    13.7      M    M
 30000  -36.0 -32.8   210   47   24   6.1   3.3   41.2 106.1    12.2      M    M
 29000  -33.5 -28.3   210   44   23   8.2   4.5   40.5 104.9    11.8      M    M
 28000  -31.0 -23.8   205   37   19   8.2   4.5   39.9 103.9    11.5      M    M
 27000  -28.6 -19.5   200   40   21   8.6   4.7   39.3 102.8    11.2      M    M
 26000  -26.0 -14.8   195   39   20   8.0   4.4   38.9 102.0    11.0      M    M
 25000  -23.8 -10.8   200   44   23   3.8   2.1   38.0 100.4    10.4      M    M
 24000  -22.1  -7.8   195   36   18   7.4   4.1   36.5  97.7     9.3      M    M
 23000  -19.9  -3.8   200   33   17   6.9   3.8   35.6  96.1     8.7      M    M
 22000  -17.7   0.1   200   29   15   8.1   4.4   34.7  94.5     8.1      M    M
 21000  -15.4   4.3   195   20   10   5.9   3.3   33.9  93.1     7.5      M    M
 20000  -14.3   6.3   195   22   11   1.9   1.1   31.9  89.4     5.8      M    M
 19500  -13.5   7.7   190   23   12   6.7   3.7   31.1  88.1     5.1      M    M
 19000  -12.2  10.0   190   26   13   7.3   4.0   30.2  86.3     4.2      M    M
 18500  -11.1  12.0   190   27   14   7.8   4.3   29.8  85.7     3.9      M    M
 18000  -10.0  14.0   190   24   12   7.8   4.3   29.5  85.1     3.6      M    M
 17500   -8.8  16.2   195   23   12   9.1   5.0   29.3  84.7     3.4      M    M
 17000   -7.4  18.7   195   21   11   9.0   5.0   29.2  84.6     3.3      M    M
 16500   -6.1  21.0   195   18    9   9.0   4.9   29.1  84.4     3.2      M    M
 16000   -4.7  23.5   190   15    7   9.0   4.9   29.0  84.2     3.2      M    M
 15500   -3.4  25.9   185   12    6   9.0   4.9   28.9  84.0     3.1      M    M
 15000   -2.0  28.4   180    9    5   9.0   4.9   28.8  83.8     3.0      M    M
 14500   -0.7  30.7   190   10    5   9.0   4.9   28.6  83.5     2.9      M    M
 14000    0.7  33.3   190    9    5   9.0   4.9   28.5  83.3     2.7      M    M
 13500    2.0  35.6   190    8    4   9.0   5.0   28.3  83.0     2.6      M    M
 13000    3.4  38.1   210   11    6   9.1   5.0   28.2  82.7     2.5      M    M
 12500    4.7  40.5   195    6    3   8.5   4.6   28.0  82.4     2.3      M    M
 12000    6.0  42.8   115    3    1   9.2   5.0   27.8  82.1     2.1      M    M
 11500    7.3  45.1   150    3    2   9.4   5.1   27.8  82.0     2.1      M    M
 11000    8.7  47.7   160    4    2   9.4   5.1   27.7  81.9     2.0      M    M
 10500   10.1  50.2   090    6    3   9.0   4.9   27.7  81.8     1.9      M    M
 10250   10.7  51.3   095    8    4   7.8   4.3   27.6  81.6     1.8      M    M
 10000   11.3  52.3   105   10    5   8.0   4.4   27.4  81.3     1.7      M    M
  9750   11.9  53.4   100   10    5   8.0   4.4   27.3  81.1     1.5      M    M
  9500   12.4  54.3   085   11    6   6.8   3.8   27.1  80.8     1.3      M    M
  9250   12.9  55.2   085   10    5   6.4   3.5   26.8  80.3     1.1      M    M
  9000   13.4  56.1   090    8    4   6.5   3.6   26.6  79.9     0.9      M    M
  8750   13.9  57.0   090    7    4   6.5   3.5   26.3  79.4     0.7      M    M
  8500   14.4  57.9   085    7    3   6.5   3.6   26.1  78.9     0.4      M    M
  8250   14.9  58.8   085    6    3   6.5   3.6   25.8  78.5     0.2      M    M
  8000   15.4  59.7   080    8    4   6.5   3.5   25.6  78.0    -0.1    193  1.0
  7750   15.9  60.6   080    8    4   6.5   3.6   25.3  77.6    -0.3    171  0.9
  7500   16.4  61.5   085   10    5   6.3   3.4   25.1  77.1    -0.5    149  0.8
  7250   16.8  62.2   090   11    6   5.1   2.8   24.8  76.6    -0.8    129  0.7
  7000   17.2  63.0   095   13    7   6.1   3.3   24.4  75.9    -1.2    110  0.6
  6750   17.6  63.7   100   12    6   6.5   3.6   24.2  75.5    -1.4     88  0.4
  6500   18.0  64.4   100   13    7   5.7   3.1   23.9  75.0    -1.8     69  0.4
  6250   18.4  65.1   095   13    7   5.4   3.0   23.6  74.4    -2.1     50  0.3
  6000   18.8  65.8   090   11    6   7.4   4.1   23.3  73.9    -2.4     30  0.2
  5750   19.1  66.4   095   10    5  -5.5  -3.0   22.8  73.1    -2.9     15  0.1
  5500   18.0  64.4   105    9    5 -17.3  -9.5   21.0  69.8    -4.8     41  0.2
  5250   16.9  62.4   115    9    5 -13.3  -7.3   19.1  66.5    -6.7     68  0.3
  5000   15.7  60.3   115    8    4 -17.3  -9.5   17.3  63.2    -8.5     94  0.5

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           09/21/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       09/21/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +0.9        | CAPE...    +5.0    LI...        0.0
CINH...    -0.0    K Index... +19.7        | CINH...   -20.3    K Index... +21.1
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -59.2 -74.6  220  32 16   1.8   1.0 | -57.4 -71.3  210  28 14   1.7   1.0
 45000 -55.7 -68.3  205  43 22   4.3   2.4 | -54.3 -65.7  200  45 23   3.5   1.9
 40000 -49.2 -56.6  205  56 29   4.0   2.2 | -49.0 -56.2  195  55 28   3.5   1.9
 38000 -47.4 -53.3  205  63 32   3.0   1.6 | -47.3 -53.1  195  58 30   2.8   1.5
 36000 -45.4 -49.7  205  70 36   3.0   1.6 | -45.5 -49.9  190  62 32   2.8   1.5
 34000 -43.2 -45.8  200  70 36   4.0   2.2 | -43.6 -46.5  185  62 32   3.3   1.8
 32000 -40.8 -41.4  195  65 33   4.0   2.2 | -41.7 -43.1  185  59 31   3.3   1.8
 30000 -37.3 -35.1  190  56 29   7.4   4.1 | -38.5 -37.3  180  54 28   7.2   3.9
 29000 -35.1 -31.2  185  50 26   7.4   4.1 | -36.4 -33.5  180  50 26   7.2   3.9
 28000 -32.9 -27.2  180  44 23   7.4   4.1 | -34.2 -29.6  180  47 24   7.2   4.0
 27000 -30.5 -22.9  180  41 21   8.4   4.6 | -32.0 -25.6  175  43 22   7.9   4.4
 26000 -28.0 -18.4  180  39 20   8.4   4.6 | -29.6 -21.3  175  40 20   8.0   4.4
 25000 -25.5 -13.9  180  37 19   8.4   4.6 | -27.2 -17.0  170  37 19   8.0   4.4
 24000 -23.1  -9.6  180  35 18   7.4   4.0 | -24.9 -12.8  170  34 17   7.6   4.2
 23000 -20.8  -5.4  175  32 17   7.4   4.1 | -22.0  -7.6  165  31 16   7.6   4.2
 22000 -18.1  -0.6  175  29 15   7.6   4.1 | -19.8  -3.6  165  30 15   7.7   4.2
 21000 -16.2   2.8  175  27 14   6.0   3.3 | -17.6   0.3  165  27 14   7.4   4.0
 20000 -14.4   6.1  170  26 13   6.1   3.3 | -15.4   4.3  165  25 13   7.4   4.1
 19500 -13.5   7.7  170  25 13   6.1   3.4 | -14.3   6.3  165  24 12   7.4   4.1
 19000 -12.6   9.3  170  24 13   6.4   3.5 | -13.2   8.2  160  23 12   7.7   4.3
 18500 -11.7  10.9  170  23 12   6.6   3.6 | -12.1  10.2  160  21 11   8.1   4.4
 18000 -10.8  12.6  170  22 11   6.6   3.6 | -10.9  12.4  160  20 10   8.0   4.4
 17500  -9.7  14.5  170  20 10   9.0   4.9 |  -9.7  14.5  160  18  9   9.0   4.9
 17000  -8.4  16.9  170  18 10   8.8   4.8 |  -8.4  16.9  160  16  8   8.9   4.9
 16500  -7.1  19.2  170  17  9   9.1   5.0 |  -7.1  19.2  155  15  8   9.2   5.1
 16000  -5.8  21.6  165  16  8   9.2   5.1 |  -5.7  21.7  155  14  7   9.4   5.2
 15500  -4.4  24.1  165  15  7   9.3   5.1 |  -4.3  24.3  150  13  7   9.5   5.2
 15000  -3.0  26.6  160  14  7   9.5   5.2 |  -2.9  26.8  150  13  6   9.4   5.2
 14500  -1.6  29.1  155  13  7   9.5   5.2 |  -1.5  29.3  145  12  6   9.4   5.2
 14000  -0.1  31.8  150  13  7   9.5   5.2 |  -0.0  32.0  145  12  6   9.5   5.2
 13500   1.3  34.3  150  12  6   9.6   5.2 |   1.4  34.5  145  11  6   9.5   5.2
 13000   2.7  36.9  145  12  6   9.4   5.1 |   2.8  37.0  145  11  6   9.2   5.0
 12500   4.1  39.4  140  12  6   9.4   5.1 |   4.2  39.6  145  10  5   9.2   5.0
 12000   5.5  41.9  140  11  6   9.1   5.0 |   5.5  41.9  140  10  5   8.9   4.9
 11500   6.9  44.4  135  11  6   9.1   5.0 |   6.8  44.2  140   9  5   8.9   4.9
 11000   8.1  46.6  130  10  5   7.4   4.1 |   8.1  46.6  140   8  4   8.1   4.4
 10500   9.2  48.6  130  10  5   6.0   3.3 |   9.3  48.7  140   8  4   7.4   4.1
 10250   9.7  49.5  125  10  5  10.5   5.8 |   9.9  49.8  135   8  4  10.5   5.8
 10000  10.6  51.1  120   9  5  10.6   5.8 |  10.8  51.4  135   7  3  10.4   5.7
  9750  11.1  52.0  120   9  5   5.9   3.2 |  11.4  52.5  130   6  3   7.7   4.2
  9500  11.7  53.1  120   9  5   7.6   4.2 |  12.0  53.6  130   6  3   8.2   4.5
  9250  12.2  54.0  115   9  5   5.4   3.0 |  12.6  54.7  130   6  3   8.7   4.8
  9000  12.5  54.5  120  10  5   5.1   2.8 |  13.3  55.9  125   4  2   8.7   4.8
  8750  13.0  55.4  120   9  5   6.6   3.6 |  13.9  57.0  120   4  2   7.8   4.3
  8500  13.5  56.3  115   9  4   6.3   3.5 |  14.5  58.1  115   3  2   8.5   4.6
  8250  14.3  57.7  115   9  4   4.7   2.6 |  15.5  59.9  115   3  2   6.1   3.3
  8000  14.6  58.3  115   8  4   3.8   2.1 |  16.1  61.0  110   3  1   7.8   4.3
  7750  14.9  58.8  115   8  4   4.1   2.3 |  16.7  62.1  100   2  1   8.4   4.6
  7500  15.2  59.4  110   7  4   2.9   1.6 |  17.2  63.0  085   2  1   6.4   3.5
  7250  15.3  59.5  115   8  4   1.8   1.0 |  17.6  63.7  100   2  1   5.2   2.8
  7000  15.5  59.9  120   8  4   3.1   1.7 |  18.1  64.6  105   2  1   9.3   5.1
  6750  15.8  60.4  110   7  3   3.4   1.8 |  18.9  66.0  090   2  1  11.4   6.2
  6500  16.0  60.8  105   6  3   1.9   1.0 |  19.7  67.5  080   1  1  10.1   5.5
  6250  16.1  61.0  105   6  3   0.7   0.4 |  20.5  68.9  095   1  1  10.1   5.5
  6000  16.2  61.2  105   6  3   3.4   1.9 |  21.2  70.2  105   2  1   8.6   4.7
  5750  16.6  61.9  100   5  2   9.4   5.2 |  21.9  71.4  090   1  1  12.9   7.1
  5500  17.3  63.1  090   4  2   6.5   3.5 |  24.2  75.6  100   2  1  61.9  33.9
  5250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  5000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           09/21/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       09/21/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...  +107.0    LI...       +0.1        | CAPE...  +341.3    LI...       +0.2
CINH...   -62.0    K Index... +25.9        | CINH...   -17.2    K Index... +25.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -56.6 -69.9  210  27 14   2.7   1.5 | -56.3 -69.3  230  19 10   2.8   1.5
 45000 -52.6 -62.7  205  38 19   2.7   1.5 | -52.2 -62.0  235  26 13   2.8   1.5
 40000 -48.6 -55.5  185  41 21   2.9   1.6 | -48.0 -54.4  205  24 12   3.1   1.7
 38000 -48.1 -54.6  175  43 22   0.6   0.3 | -48.5 -55.3  160  18  9  -1.6  -0.9
 36000 -47.7 -53.9  160  48 25   0.6   0.3 | -49.6 -57.3  110  28 14  -1.6  -0.9
 34000 -45.8 -50.4  155  48 25   5.3   2.9 | -47.6 -53.7  100  32 16   7.8   4.3
 32000 -42.6 -44.7  155  42 22   5.3   2.9 | -42.9 -45.2  095  26 13   7.8   4.3
 30000 -38.6 -37.5  155  38 19   8.0   4.4 | -38.1 -36.6  090  20 10   8.1   4.5
 29000 -36.2 -33.2  150  36 18   8.0   4.4 | -35.7 -32.3  090  18  9   8.2   4.5
 28000 -33.8 -28.8  150  34 18   8.0   4.4 | -33.3 -27.9  085  15  8   8.2   4.5
 27000 -31.5 -24.7  150  33 17   7.9   4.3 | -30.9 -23.6  080  13  7   7.9   4.3
 26000 -29.1 -20.4  145  32 17   7.9   4.3 | -28.6 -19.5  070  10  5   7.9   4.3
 25000 -26.8 -16.2  145  31 16   7.9   4.3 | -26.2 -15.2  060   8  4   7.9   4.3
 24000 -24.4 -11.9  145  31 16   8.1   4.4 | -23.9 -11.0  040   6  3   7.6   4.1
 23000 -22.0  -7.6  145  29 15   8.1   4.4 | -21.1  -6.0  020   5  3   7.6   4.2
 22000 -19.1  -2.4  145  28 14   8.1   4.4 | -18.9  -2.0  005   5  3   7.7   4.2
 21000 -16.8   1.8  145  26 13   7.6   4.2 | -16.7   1.9  350   6  3   7.1   3.9
 20000 -14.6   5.7  145  23 12   7.6   4.2 | -14.7   5.5  345   6  3   7.1   3.9
 19500 -13.4   7.9  145  22 11   7.6   4.2 | -13.6   7.5  345   7  3   7.1   3.9
 19000 -12.3   9.9  145  21 11   7.5   4.1 | -12.6   9.3  345   7  4   6.8   3.8
 18500 -11.3  11.7  145  19 10   7.4   4.1 | -11.7  10.9  340   7  4   6.3   3.5
 18000 -10.2  13.6  145  17  9   7.4   4.1 | -10.7  12.7  335   8  4   6.4   3.5
 17500  -9.1  15.6  140  15  8   7.5   4.1 |  -9.8  14.4  325   8  4   6.1   3.3
 17000  -8.0  17.6  140  13  7   7.5   4.1 |  -8.9  16.0  320   8  4   6.1   3.4
 16500  -6.9  19.6  135  11  6   7.5   4.1 |  -8.0  17.6  315   8  4   6.2   3.4
 16000  -5.8  21.6  130   9  5   7.6   4.1 |  -7.1  19.2  310   8  4   6.4   3.5
 15500  -4.7  23.5  125   8  4   7.6   4.2 |  -6.2  20.8  305   8  4   6.4   3.5
 15000  -3.6  25.5  110   6  3   7.6   4.2 |  -5.2  22.6  300   8  4   6.3   3.5
 14500  -2.5  27.5  095   5  3   7.6   4.2 |  -4.3  24.3  295   8  4   6.3   3.5
 14000  -1.4  29.5  070   4  2   7.9   4.3 |  -3.4  25.9  290   8  4   6.6   3.6
 13500  -0.2  31.6  045   4  2   7.9   4.3 |  -2.4  27.7  285   8  4   6.6   3.6
 13000   0.9  33.6  025   5  3   7.9   4.3 |  -1.5  29.3  280   8  4   6.5   3.6
 12500   2.1  35.8  010   5  3   7.9   4.3 |  -0.5  31.1  280   8  4   6.5   3.6
 12000   3.3  37.9  355   6  3   8.0   4.4 |   0.4  32.7  275   9  4   7.0   3.8
 11500   4.5  40.1  345   6  3   8.0   4.4 |   1.5  34.7  270   8  4   7.1   3.9
 11000   5.7  42.3  335   6  3   7.5   4.1 |   2.5  36.5  270   9  4   7.7   4.2
 10500   6.7  44.1  330   6  3   6.4   3.5 |   3.7  38.7  265   9  5   7.9   4.3
 10250   7.3  45.1  325   6  3  10.3   5.7 |   4.3  39.7  260  10  5   8.4   4.6
 10000   8.2  46.8  310   7  4  10.9   6.0 |   4.9  40.8  270   8  4   8.3   4.6
  9750   8.8  47.8  305   7  4   7.5   4.1 |   5.5  41.9  270   8  4   7.9   4.3
  9500   9.4  48.9  305   7  4   8.1   4.4 |   6.1  43.0  270   7  4   7.4   4.0
  9250  10.0  50.0  305   7  4   9.3   5.1 |   6.7  44.1  270   7  4   9.9   5.4
  9000  10.8  51.4  290   8  4   9.7   5.3 |   7.5  45.5  265   8  4   9.0   4.9
  8750  11.4  52.5  285   9  4   8.3   4.5 |   7.9  46.2  265   7  4   5.9   3.2
  8500  12.0  53.6  280   9  5   8.8   4.8 |   8.9  48.0  265   5  3   7.1   3.9
  8250  13.3  55.9  280   9  5   8.4   4.6 |   9.4  48.9  265   5  3   7.7   4.2
  8000  13.9  57.0  280   9  5   9.3   5.1 |   9.9  49.8  260   5  2   6.3   3.5
  7750  14.6  58.3  275  10  5   9.7   5.3 |  10.4  50.7  255   4  2   5.9   3.3
  7500  15.3  59.5  265  10  5   8.6   4.7 |  10.8  51.4  250   2  1   5.8   3.2
  7250  15.9  60.6  270  10  5   7.8   4.3 |  11.2  52.2  235   2  1   5.6   3.1
  7000  16.6  61.9  270  10  5   9.8   5.4 |  11.6  52.9  210   1  1   6.3   3.4
  6750  17.4  63.3  265  10  5  10.9   6.0 |  12.0  53.6  160   1  1   6.3   3.5
  6500  18.1  64.6  260  11  5  10.0   5.5 |  12.4  54.3  135   2  1   5.5   3.0
  6250  18.9  66.0  265  10  5  10.0   5.5 |  12.8  55.0  125   4  2   5.4   3.0
  6000  19.6  67.3  270   9  5   8.5   4.7 |  13.1  55.6  120   5  2   5.3   2.9
  5750  20.2  68.4  260   9  5  11.1   6.1 |  13.5  56.3  125   3  2   7.1   3.9
  5500  22.1  71.8  275   8  4  49.6  27.2 |  14.3  57.7  115   5  3  18.4  10.1
  5250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  5000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at Walker Field in Grand
Junction, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  39 deg 07 min 00.001 sec
                   West Longitude: 108 deg 31 min 59.998 sec
                   Elevation: 4839 feet (1475 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Western Slope of
Colorado.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather prediction models
differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to data which appear
to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613