663
FXUS62 KMLB 240512
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
112 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 112 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Another quiet TAF period. E breezes 5-11 KT through mid morning,
then 8-14 KT with gusts to 15-20 KT in the afternoon. VFR
conditions prevail; slight chance of showers relegated to SUA.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 953 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

Lingering band of low level moisture along the southern Treasure
Coast and an elevated low level easterly flow will continue the
potential for isolated onshore moving showers, mainly along the
Martin County coast into tonight. Otherwise, it will remain mostly
dry, with lows in the 70s and skies mostly clear to partly
cloudy. Fog development looks unlikely tonight, as boundary layer
winds off the surface increase.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 202 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

Afternoon-Tue Night...Weak surface high pressure continues to drift
further into the western Atlc. Moderate E/ESE flow will continue
during this time with winds increasing further Tue night 13-18 kts.
Scattered showers and isolated lightning storms will occur this
afternoon from the Cape southward with lower coverage on Tue as
drier air filters down from the north. Seas 3-4 feet today-tonight
building 4-5 ft Tue and up to 6 ft Tue night in the Gulf Stream
Cape southward.

.Previous Extended Marine Forecast Discussion Modified...

Wed-Fri...Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is forecast to continue
to develop and strengthen over the northwest Caribbean in the
next 48 hours, moving north into the eastern Gulf of Mexico mid
week. Boating conditions are forecast to deteriorate further Wed
into Thu as southeast winds increase 20 kts Wed and 25+ kts Wed
overnight into Thu with seas building 7-9 ft (perhaps 10 ft north
of the Cape during Thu). Small Craft Advisories look likely by
Wed aftn. Deep moisture lifting northward will support a high
coverage of showers and storms beginning late Wed into Fri. Winds
will become S/SW Fri and decrease 15-20 kts with seas subsiding
below 5 ft along the coast due to the offshore component but
remaining 6-7 ft offshore.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  89  77  89  78 /   0   0  40  60
MCO  92  76  90  78 /   0   0  60  60
MLB  89  79  89  79 /   0  10  60  70
VRB  89  78  89  79 /  10  10  70  70
LEE  93  75  90  76 /   0   0  50  60
SFB  91  76  89  77 /   0   0  60  60
ORL  92  77  90  78 /   0   0  60  60
FPR  89  78  88  78 /  20  20  70  70

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Weitlich
AVIATION...Heil