Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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908
FXUS62 KMLB 220439
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1239 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 1239 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

VFR will prevail except in the vicinity of showers (brief MVFR
CIGs or IFR VIS restrictions). Roughly 30% chance of showers
through the TAF period at coastal terminals. For MCO, VCSH
warranted on Sunday afternoon though the chance is still 30% or
less for rain at the terminal. TS looks unlikely. NE winds 5-12
KT. Gusts to 15-19 KT at coastal terminals after 15Z.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 902 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

High pressure situated north of the area will continue to produce
a low level NE flow across the area. This will continue to
transport isolated showers and possibly a few storms onshore along
the coast through tonight into early morning Saturday, and have
maintained 20 percent rain chances along and east of the I-95
corridor. Otherwise, interior locations will largely remain dry
overnight. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear, with lows
in the low to mid 70s. Not much guidance support at this time for
patchy fog to develop late tonight, but with lighter winds there
still may be some ground fog that develops in spots.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 204 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

Tonight thru mid next week...High pressure to the north will
continue to provide for a light to moderate NNE/NE flow that will
veer more ENE- E Sun overnight into early-mid next week. Speeds
commonly 8-15 kts. Seas near shore 3-4 ft building to 4-5 ft over
the Gulf Stream/offshore into next week. ISOLD to WDLY SCT
(10-30pct) showers and lightning storms remain in the forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  88  74  89  74 /  20   0  10   0
MCO  91  74  91  74 /  30   0  10   0
MLB  89  76  88  77 /  20  20  20  10
VRB  89  75  89  76 /  20  20  20  10
LEE  91  73  92  74 /  20   0  10   0
SFB  89  73  90  74 /  30   0  10   0
ORL  91  75  92  74 /  30   0  10   0
FPR  89  74  89  75 /  30  20  30  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for FLZ141-
     154-159-164-347-447-647-747.

AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Weitlich
AVIATION...Heil