528
FXUS62 KMLB 210535
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
135 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 131 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

MVFR conditions occurring at LEE due to BR will likely continue
through the overnight hours. Otherwise, VFR conditions prevailing.
Showers will continue to occasionally stream onshore into coastal
areas, at times approaching coastal terminals. VCSH has been
included into the early afternoon (18Z) in these locations.
Isolated to widely scattered showers will then progress inland
along onshore flow, diminishing by around 0Z. Showers will then be
possible once again overnight along the coast. Breezy onshore
winds today will increase to around 12kts, with gusts around 20kts
this afternoon, especially for coastal terminals. Winds will
diminish this evening.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1020 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Noticeably less coverage of showers and storms today due to drier
air. Low level moisture is sufficient to produce isolated showers
over the Atlantic waters. NE flow will push these showers SW and
onshore portions of the Space and Treasure coasts. Most areas will
remain dry but brief downpours and occasional lightning strikes
will be possible along the coast so have extended the small PoP
through the overnight. No significant change to min temps in the
low to mid 70s, possibly holding in the upper 70s along the
immediate Volusia and Brevard coasts due to persistent onshore
(NE) flow.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 345 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Current-Tuesday...(Modified Previous Discussion) Boating conditions
slowly become poorer over the next few days as onshore winds
increase. As high pressure settles into the Appalachians, northeast
winds freshen to 8-13 KT this afternoon and will persist through the
weekend. Isolated to scattered showers and a few storms possible
each day, especially from Cape Canaveral southward. By early next
week, winds turn more easterly at 10-15 KT. Seas 2-4 FT through
Saturday before building to 3-5 FT Sunday-Monday, and up to 6 feet
in the offshore waters on Tuesday, largely driven by a northeast
swell at 9-11 sec.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  87  75  89  75 /  30  20  30  10
MCO  89  74  91  74 /  30  10  30  10
MLB  88  76  89  76 /  40  20  30  20
VRB  88  74  89  75 /  40  20  30  30
LEE  90  73  91  73 /  20   0  20   0
SFB  88  74  89  73 /  30  10  30   0
ORL  90  75  91  75 /  30  10  30   0
FPR  88  74  89  75 /  40  20  40  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT Sunday for FLZ141-154-159-
     164-347-447-647-747.

AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Kelly
AVIATION...Leahy