606
FXUS62 KMLB 200531
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
131 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 128 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

VFR conditions prevailing. Lower coverage of showers and storms
is forecast Friday, with onshore flow through the period. VCSH
included for MCO southward after 18Z, though the highest
confidence in seeing convection near terminals will be along the
Treasure Coast after around 16Z. VCTS included for FPR and SUA by
18Z, diminishing through 23Z. Coverage is forecast to be too low
to include TEMPOs at this time, but this will need to be
monitored. Winds increasing to around 10-12kts behind the sea
breeze along the coast this afternoon. Otherwise, NE/E winds
remaining 10kts or less.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1030 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

An earlier start to diurnal convection today over land has led to
an earlier end. However, there are a few convergent cloud lines
seen on KMLB radar offshore Brevard and the Treasure coast as
well which should become more active with convection overnight.
Most of this convection should stay over the Atlc but will keep a
small PoP along the coast from the Cape southward into early
overnight. Light and variable winds will become light N/NW toward
morning with min temps in the low to mid 70s. Skies will become
mostly clear and there is a small chance for patchy fog in
normally fog prone areas, including where heavy rains fell today
(St Lucie county) and across north Lake/NW Volusia counties.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 255 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Now-Tonight...Seas will continue to fall into tonight, around 2-4
ft, as onshore flow becomes light and variable through daybreak
Friday. Scattered showers and lightning storms will continue to
push over the waters through the evening and may last through the
early overnight period. Locally higher wind gusts and seas are
possible as a result of this activity.

Friday-Monday...Generally favorable conditions are forecast
through the weekend with poor boating conditions potentially
returning by Sunday or early next week. Persistent northeasterly
winds will increase each day with the highest gusts 15-20 kt in
the afternoon and evening hours. Seas 2-3 ft thru Saturday,
increasing to 3-5 ft Sunday-Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  88  74  87  75 /  20  20  40  20
MCO  90  74  90  73 /  30  10  40   0
MLB  88  75  88  76 /  30  20  40  20
VRB  88  73  89  74 /  40  20  40  20
LEE  90  73  90  73 /  20   0  30   0
SFB  89  73  88  73 /  30  10  40  10
ORL  90  74  90  75 /  30  10  40   0
FPR  88  73  88  73 /  40  20  40  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT Saturday for FLZ141-154-
     159-164-347-447-647-747.

AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Kelly
AVIATION...Leahy