Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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582
UXUS97 KPUB 251212
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0611 MDT Tuesday, June 25, 2024

This forecast is for the Air Force Academy for Tuesday, June 25, 2024:

If the trigger temperature of 77.0 F/25.0 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 1553 ft/min (7.9 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 23478 ft MSL (15883 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 0830 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1500 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 20484 ft MSL (12889 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 06/26.... Excellent

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:35:19 / 20:28:56 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 53 min 37 sec (893 min 37 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:02:07 MDT... 74.37 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/25/2024 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 16811 ft MSL (9216 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 20150 ft MSL (12555 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 21702 ft MSL (14107 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -1.6
K index......................... +10.2

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -64.4 -83.9   290   40   20   4.1   2.3      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -56.4 -69.5   285   53   27   6.5   3.6      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -46.8 -52.2   285   59   30   6.3   3.5      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -43.0 -45.4   285   58   30   6.3   3.5      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -39.3 -38.7   285   58   30   6.2   3.4      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -35.9 -32.6   285   53   27   5.6   3.1      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -32.1 -25.8   285   47   24   5.9   3.3      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -28.1 -18.6   285   41   21   6.7   3.7   40.4 104.7     6.0      M    M
 29000  -26.1 -15.0   285   38   20   6.7   3.7   39.3 102.7     5.2      M    M
 28000  -24.1 -11.4   285   35   18   7.0   3.8   38.3 100.9     4.4      M    M
 27000  -22.0  -7.6   285   30   15   7.0   3.9   37.1  98.8     3.5      M    M
 26000  -19.9  -3.8   285   24   12   7.1   3.9   36.1  97.0     2.7      M    M
 25000  -17.8  -0.0   280   19   10   6.7   3.7   35.3  95.5     2.0      M    M
 24000  -16.1   3.0   285   17    9   5.7   3.1   33.8  92.8     0.7      M    M
 23000  -14.5   5.9   285   15    8   5.8   3.2   32.3  90.2    -0.5   1520  7.7
 22000  -12.8   9.0   290   14    7   6.5   3.6   31.1  87.9    -1.7   1441  7.3
 21000  -10.6  12.9   300   14    7   7.5   4.1   30.2  86.4    -2.5   1345  6.8
 20000   -8.4  16.9   305   16    8   7.5   4.1   29.5  85.0    -3.3   1249  6.3
 19500   -7.3  18.9   310   16    8   7.4   4.1   29.1  84.4    -3.6   1201  6.1
 19000   -5.4  22.3   315   17    9   8.5   4.7   28.7  83.7    -3.9   1124  5.7
 18500   -4.2  24.4   315   18    9   8.5   4.7   28.5  83.4    -4.1   1070  5.4
 18000   -2.9  26.8   320   18    9   8.6   4.7   28.3  83.0    -4.3   1017  5.2
 17500   -1.6  29.1   320   18    9   8.6   4.7   28.2  82.7    -4.5    963  4.9
 17000   -0.3  31.5   325   18    9   8.4   4.6   28.0  82.4    -4.7    910  4.6
 16500    0.9  33.6   325   17    9   8.1   4.4   27.7  81.9    -5.0    859  4.4
 16000    2.1  35.8   330   16    8   8.1   4.4   27.4  81.4    -5.3    809  4.1
 15500    3.3  37.9   335   15    8   8.6   4.7   27.2  81.0    -5.5    757  3.8
 15000    4.6  40.3   335   15    8   8.6   4.7   27.0  80.7    -5.8    704  3.6
 14500    5.9  42.6   335   14    7   8.5   4.7   26.9  80.3    -6.0    652  3.3
 14000    7.1  44.8   335   13    7   8.5   4.7   26.6  80.0    -6.2    600  3.0
 13500    8.4  47.1   335   13    7   8.7   4.8   26.5  79.6    -6.5    548  2.8
 13000    9.6  49.3   335   12    6   8.6   4.7   26.3  79.4    -6.7    494  2.5
 12500   10.8  51.4   335   12    6   8.2   4.5   26.1  79.0    -7.0    444  2.3
 12000   12.0  53.6   335   12    6   7.7   4.3   25.8  78.5    -7.3    393  2.0
 11750   12.6  54.7   335   12    6   8.9   4.9   25.7  78.2    -7.4    368  1.9
 11500   13.3  55.9   335   12    6  10.3   5.7   25.7  78.3    -7.5    339  1.7
 11250   14.1  57.4   335   13    7   9.1   5.0   25.7  78.3    -7.5    310  1.6
 11000   14.7  58.5   335   13    7   8.5   4.7   25.6  78.1    -7.6    284  1.4
 10750   15.3  59.5   335   13    7   7.9   4.3   25.5  77.9    -7.7    258  1.3
 10500   15.9  60.6   335   14    7  10.9   6.0   25.4  77.7    -7.8    232  1.2
 10250   16.9  62.4   335   14    7  11.3   6.2   25.6  78.1    -7.7    197  1.0
 10000   17.5  63.5   335   14    7   8.5   4.6   25.6  78.0    -7.8    170  0.9
  9750   18.2  64.8   335   14    7   9.5   5.2   25.5  77.9    -7.8    142  0.7
  9500   18.9  66.0   335   14    7   8.2   4.5   25.5  77.9    -7.9    115  0.6
  9250   19.4  66.9   335   14    7   6.7   3.7   25.3  77.5    -8.1     91  0.5
  9000   19.9  67.8   335   14    7   7.1   3.9   25.1  77.1    -8.4     69  0.4
  8750   20.4  68.7   335   14    7   7.7   4.2   24.9  76.8    -8.6     47  0.2
  8500   20.9  69.6   335   14    7   6.7   3.7   24.7  76.5    -8.9     24  0.1
  8250   21.2  70.2   335   14    7  -1.0  -0.5   24.3  75.7    -9.4      9  0.0
  8000   20.4  68.7   325   13    7 -21.5 -11.8   22.8  73.0   -10.9     25  0.1
  7750   17.8  64.0   310   10    5 -41.5 -22.7   19.6  67.2   -14.2     95  0.5
  7500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  6750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           06/25/2024 at 0900 MDT          |       06/25/2024 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...   +13.3    LI...       +0.8        | CAPE...   +72.0    LI...       -0.8
CINH...    -6.0    K Index... +14.7        | CINH...    -1.3    K Index... +15.4
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.5 -82.3  290  33 17   3.0   1.6 | -63.1 -81.6  285  30 16   3.2   1.8
 45000 -56.8 -70.2  285  51 26   6.3   3.5 | -56.6 -69.9  290  48 25   6.0   3.3
 40000 -47.3 -53.1  290  59 30   6.5   3.6 | -47.4 -53.3  290  60 31   6.8   3.7
 38000 -43.4 -46.1  290  57 29   6.5   3.6 | -43.3 -45.9  290  58 30   6.8   3.7
 36000 -39.4 -38.9  290  55 28   6.3   3.5 | -39.3 -38.7  290  57 29   6.5   3.5
 34000 -35.7 -32.3  290  50 26   5.4   3.0 | -35.7 -32.3  290  50 26   5.2   2.9
 32000 -32.5 -26.5  295  45 23   6.1   3.3 | -32.6 -26.7  290  43 22   5.9   3.2
 30000 -28.2 -18.8  295  41 21   7.2   3.9 | -28.5 -19.3  295  40 21   7.0   3.8
 29000 -26.1 -15.0  295  38 20   7.2   3.9 | -26.4 -15.5  295  39 20   7.0   3.8
 28000 -24.0 -11.2  295  36 18   6.8   3.7 | -24.3 -11.7  295  38 19   7.4   4.0
 27000 -21.9  -7.4  295  32 16   6.8   3.7 | -22.0  -7.6  295  36 18   7.3   4.0
 26000 -19.9  -3.8  295  28 14   6.8   3.7 | -19.8  -3.6  295  34 17   7.4   4.0
 25000 -17.9  -0.2  290  24 12   6.5   3.6 | -17.6   0.3  295  31 16   6.4   3.5
 24000 -16.1   3.0  290  21 11   5.9   3.2 | -16.1   3.0  290  28 14   4.9   2.7
 23000 -14.4   6.1  290  19 10   5.9   3.2 | -14.7   5.5  285  25 13   5.0   2.8
 22000 -12.6   9.3  290  16  8   6.3   3.5 | -13.2   8.2  275  22 12   5.8   3.2
 21000 -10.6  12.9  300  16  8   6.9   3.8 | -11.2  11.8  285  20 10   6.7   3.7
 20000  -8.1  17.4  315  18  9   7.0   3.8 |  -8.8  16.2  305  18 10   6.7   3.7
 19500  -7.1  19.2  320  18  9   7.5   4.1 |  -7.7  18.1  310  18  9   7.9   4.4
 19000  -5.9  21.4  315  18  9   8.0   4.4 |  -6.5  20.3  315  19 10   8.8   4.8
 18500  -4.8  23.4  315  18  9   8.0   4.4 |  -5.2  22.6  320  20 10   8.8   4.8
 18000  -3.6  25.5  315  18  9   9.0   5.0 |  -3.9  25.0  325  20 10   9.1   5.0
 17500  -2.3  27.9  315  17  9   9.0   4.9 |  -2.5  27.5  325  20 10   9.1   5.0
 17000  -1.0  30.2  320  17  9   9.1   5.0 |  -1.2  29.8  325  20 10   9.2   5.1
 16500   0.4  32.7  320  16  8   9.1   5.0 |   0.1  32.2  330  20 10   9.3   5.1
 16000   1.7  35.1  320  15  8   9.1   5.0 |   1.4  34.5  330  19 10   9.4   5.1
 15500   3.0  37.4  320  14  7   8.4   4.6 |   2.8  37.0  330  18  9   9.7   5.3
 15000   4.3  39.7  320  14  7   8.5   4.6 |   4.2  39.6  330  16  8   9.8   5.4
 14500   5.6  42.1  320  13  7   8.6   4.7 |   5.6  42.1  335  14  7   9.7   5.3
 14000   6.9  44.4  325  12  6   8.6   4.7 |   7.0  44.6  335  13  7   9.7   5.3
 13500   8.1  46.6  325  11  6   8.6   4.7 |   8.5  47.3  340  12  6   9.4   5.2
 13000   9.4  48.9  330  11  5   8.8   4.8 |   9.8  49.6  340  11  6   9.8   5.4
 12500  10.7  51.3  335  10  5   9.2   5.1 |  11.4  52.5  340  11  6  10.4   5.7
 12000  12.2  54.0  340  10  5  10.1   5.6 |  12.9  55.2  345  11  5  10.5   5.8
 11750  12.9  55.2  340  10  5   8.6   4.7 |  13.7  56.7  345  10  5   9.6   5.3
 11500  13.5  56.3  345  10  5   7.0   3.9 |  14.4  57.9  345  10  5   9.1   5.0
 11250  14.0  57.2  345  10  5   8.2   4.5 |  15.1  59.2  345  10  5   9.9   5.5
 11000  14.7  58.5  345  10  5   8.7   4.8 |  15.9  60.6  345  10  5  10.0   5.5
 10750  15.3  59.5  350  10  5   8.7   4.8 |  16.6  61.9  345  10  5  10.0   5.5
 10500  16.0  60.8  350  10  5   8.3   4.5 |  17.4  63.3  345  10  5   9.9   5.5
 10250  16.5  61.7  350  11  5   8.6   4.7 |  18.1  64.6  350  10  5   9.8   5.4
 10000  17.2  63.0  350  11  6   9.1   5.0 |  18.8  65.8  350  10  5   9.6   5.3
  9750  17.9  64.2  350  11  6   9.6   5.3 |  19.5  67.1  350  10  5  10.2   5.6
  9500  18.5  65.3  350  12  6   7.1   3.9 |  20.3  68.5  350   9  5   8.0   4.4
  9250  19.0  66.2  350  12  6   8.0   4.4 |  20.8  69.4  350   9  5   9.0   4.9
  9000  19.8  67.6  345  12  6  11.6   6.4 |  21.6  70.9  350   9  5  11.9   6.5
  8750  20.6  69.1  345  12  6  11.3   6.2 |  22.5  72.5  350   9  5  11.4   6.3
  8500  21.4  70.5  345  11  6  10.7   5.9 |  23.4  74.1  355   9  5  10.7   5.9
  8250  22.1  71.8  340  11  6   9.8   5.4 |  24.1  75.4  355   9  5  11.0   6.0
  8000  22.9  73.2  340  10  5  13.8   7.6 |  25.2  77.4  355   9  4  18.5  10.1
  7750  24.1  75.4  340   9  5  19.6  10.7 |  26.8  80.2  355   8  4  27.4  15.0
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           06/25/2024 at 1500 MDT          |       06/25/2024 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...   +84.7    LI...       -0.2        | CAPE...   +84.0    LI...       +0.1
CINH...    -8.7    K Index... +24.8        | CINH...   -28.8    K Index... +27.5
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -63.1 -81.6  285  28 14   4.1   2.2 | -63.3 -81.9  285  23 12   4.5   2.5
 45000 -56.2 -69.2  290  42 22   5.5   3.0 | -55.9 -68.6  295  34 18   5.5   3.0
 40000 -47.5 -53.5  295  58 30   6.9   3.8 | -47.3 -53.1  300  53 27   7.1   3.9
 38000 -43.4 -46.1  295  59 30   6.9   3.8 | -42.5 -44.5  295  56 29   7.1   3.9
 36000 -38.8 -37.8  295  60 31   6.0   3.3 | -38.3 -36.9  295  59 31   6.0   3.3
 34000 -35.2 -31.4  295  54 28   5.9   3.2 | -34.7 -30.5  295  57 29   5.8   3.2
 32000 -31.7 -25.1  295  48 25   5.8   3.2 | -31.2 -24.2  300  55 28   5.9   3.2
 30000 -28.4 -19.1  290  43 22   5.5   3.0 | -27.8 -18.0  295  49 25   5.8   3.2
 29000 -26.8 -16.2  290  42 21   5.6   3.1 | -26.0 -14.8  290  46 23   5.9   3.2
 28000 -24.9 -12.8  290  40 20   8.2   4.5 | -24.3 -11.7  290  43 22   6.1   3.4
 27000 -22.6  -8.7  290  38 20   7.9   4.3 | -22.5  -8.5  290  41 21   6.2   3.4
 26000 -20.2  -4.4  295  37 19   7.9   4.3 | -20.7  -5.3  295  39 20   6.2   3.4
 25000 -17.9  -0.2  295  35 18   6.7   3.7 | -18.9  -2.0  295  37 19   6.7   3.7
 24000 -16.4   2.5  295  32 17   4.9   2.7 | -16.7   1.9  290  33 17   7.4   4.1
 23000 -15.0   5.0  290  29 15   5.0   2.7 | -14.0   6.8  285  28 15   7.5   4.1
 22000 -13.5   7.7  290  26 14   6.9   3.8 | -11.9  10.6  280  24 12   7.8   4.3
 21000 -10.4  13.3  285  23 12   8.7   4.8 |  -9.6  14.7  275  17  9   7.8   4.3
 20000  -8.0  17.6  285  21 11   8.8   4.8 |  -7.4  18.7  265  10  5   7.8   4.3
 19500  -6.8  19.8  285  19 10   7.9   4.4 |  -6.3  20.7  255   7  4   6.7   3.7
 19000  -5.7  21.7  285  16  8   7.4   4.1 |  -5.4  22.3  250   6  3   5.9   3.2
 18500  -4.6  23.7  290  12  6   7.3   4.0 |  -4.5  23.9  250   4  2   5.5   3.0
 18000  -3.3  26.1  300  10  5   9.4   5.1 |  -3.5  25.7  250   3  2   9.0   4.9
 17500  -2.0  28.4  305   8  4   9.2   5.0 |  -2.2  28.0  255   2  1   8.7   4.8
 17000  -0.6  30.9  320   7  3   9.6   5.3 |  -0.9  30.4  265   1  0   9.0   4.9
 16500   0.9  33.6  325   6  3   9.9   5.4 |   0.5  32.9  000   0  0   9.3   5.1
 16000   2.4  36.3  335   6  3   9.8   5.4 |   1.9  35.4  035   1  1   9.3   5.1
 15500   3.8  38.8  340   6  3   9.3   5.1 |   3.3  37.9  040   2  1   9.9   5.4
 15000   5.2  41.4  350   6  3   9.3   5.1 |   4.8  40.6  040   2  1   9.9   5.4
 14500   6.6  43.9  355   6  3   9.8   5.4 |   6.2  43.2  040   3  1   9.7   5.3
 14000   8.1  46.6  355   7  3   9.8   5.4 |   7.7  45.9  030   3  2   9.6   5.3
 13500   9.5  49.1  360   7  4   9.7   5.3 |   9.1  48.4  030   4  2   9.5   5.2
 13000  11.0  51.8  360   7  4   9.9   5.4 |  10.5  50.9  020   4  2   9.3   5.1
 12500  12.5  54.5  005   7  4  10.3   5.7 |  11.9  53.4  020   5  2   9.6   5.3
 12000  14.1  57.4  005   7  4  10.8   5.9 |  13.4  56.1  015   5  3  10.4   5.7
 11750  14.8  58.6  005   7  4   9.2   5.1 |  14.2  57.6  015   6  3   9.4   5.1
 11500  15.5  59.9  005   7  4   8.5   4.7 |  14.8  58.6  015   6  3   8.6   4.7
 11250  16.2  61.2  005   8  4  10.2   5.6 |  15.5  59.9  010   6  3   9.8   5.4
 11000  16.9  62.4  005   8  4  10.3   5.7 |  16.2  61.2  010   6  3   9.9   5.4
 10750  17.7  63.9  005   8  4  10.7   5.8 |  17.0  62.6  010   7  3  10.4   5.7
 10500  18.5  65.3  005   8  4   9.1   5.0 |  17.7  63.9  005   7  4   8.3   4.5
 10250  19.1  66.4  005   8  4   9.0   5.0 |  18.3  64.9  005   7  4   8.1   4.4
 10000  19.9  67.8  010   8  4  10.2   5.6 |  19.0  66.2  005   8  4  10.0   5.5
  9750  20.6  69.1  010   8  4  10.6   5.8 |  19.7  67.5  005   8  4   9.8   5.4
  9500  21.4  70.5  010   8  4   7.9   4.3 |  20.4  68.7  360   9  4   8.6   4.7
  9250  21.9  71.4  010   8  4   8.4   4.6 |  21.0  69.8  360   9  5   8.7   4.8
  9000  22.7  72.9  010   8  4  11.6   6.4 |  21.8  71.2  360   9  5  10.4   5.7
  8750  23.5  74.3  010   8  4  10.9   6.0 |  22.5  72.5  360   9  5  10.1   5.5
  8500  24.4  75.9  010   8  4  10.5   5.8 |  23.3  73.9  360  10  5  10.2   5.6
  8250  25.1  77.2  010   8  4  10.8   5.9 |  24.0  75.2  360  10  5  10.2   5.6
  8000  26.1  79.0  010   8  4  17.2   9.4 |  24.8  76.6  360   9  5   9.7   5.3
  7750  27.7  81.9  010   8  4  24.8  13.6 |  25.4  77.7  355   8  4   9.2   5.0
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the Air Force Academy
in Colorado Springs, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 58 min 48.000 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 49 min 12.000 sec
                   Elevation: 6572 feet (2003 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613